Quote:
Originally Posted by abgtr
pretty gross spot considering action. I think UTG can be holding AQ/KQ here a decent percentage. I'm going to discount 66/77 entirely. I guess he has 58 too.
Guess we just go broke here. I think I would.
I completely disagree. I don't think AQ is in his l/c range tmuch, and KQ is very unlikely as well. I think if he somehow has those hands he c/c turn, not leads into 3 players.
I think 66/77 make perfect sense. It's a dry ennough board that a guy like him would be trapping on a lot. They are also consistent with l/c. I don't think a tight player has 85 here almost ever. 44 is unlikely as well. 67 is possible. I think he is bluffing almost never.
So my range for him is 66/77/67. If he has 67, it's more likely that he started with 67s than with 67o, so you are actually either way behind his range or it's close depending on the suits of the 6s and the 7s that are out there. I also think that he is more likely to take this line with 66/77 than 67s, and he more frequently has 66/77 in his l/c range than 67s.
I think this is close but it's a fold IMO