Quote:
Originally Posted by ThaNEWPr0fess0r
Grunch
Interesting spot.
Have you and villain played any pots previously? Is he possibly calling your raises light? It seems like, since you hold a 3 yourself, Villains range here is mostly 99, 66, 96s(?), and combo draws like 54ss, 87ss, T8ss, and the likes. Possibly some other naked straight draws or whatever.
My plan would be to flat the raise and check all turn cards. This will make our hand look like an over pair. He will then continue to bet with his sets to prevent us from drawing to a flush if we had something like KsKx, same with his flushes. It also allows him to continue to bluff if he has a single spade or something.
An alternative route, which I remember pulling off to a tee one time while I was playing 5/10 at the Bellagio, would be to, on spade turns, re-check your hole cards and then lead out for a bet of like $125-$150. It makes your hand look like an over pair with flush draw, good opponents will recognize this and likely raise with their sets and low flushes in order to protect.
^Spot on, imo...def think b/c is by far best flop line. He does have a very narrow value range, especially if he ends up 3barreling a variety of dryer rollouts (99, 66, 96s even tho 96 seems pretty bad...regs in deepstack live cash can get pretty hood tho). Would be great too if you knew anything about this guys 3b tendencies...Like if he'd ever give up rivers where his vb'ing range is gonna be super polarized because he knows you're likely to bluffcatch with TT+, etc.
Also, the livepro-tip at the end is gr8 and really effective, but try to be subtle about it....if it looks rly obvious, a good player might catch it and slow down. Good idea is while thinking about what to do facing his flop raise, convince yourself you actually have what it is you're repping solely for the person of cutting down on live tells/body language (for this example we'll say JsJx). Then if spade peels, it'll help your re-checking for suits to look more genuine. If you actually had TT+, you probably wouldn't take a long exaggerated look back to check the suits....It would be quick and discrete, and even though its quick, I'm sure he's paying a gr8 deal of attention by now so there's a good chance we'll get what we're after....as long as your good at lying to and believing yourself.
It would really suck to lose a bunch of value though because we got caught going for an Oscar, so don't use these kinds of tools unless you're comfortable them.
Def wanna see how this played out tho...