Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerfan655
He was noted as calling very wide preflop so he has all the Tx/9x/mid-small pairs/etc that we're barely ahead of but can fold most of these hands on future streets. You also keep your range uncapped with a hand that can make the nuts and is maybe the easiest hand to play on a board like this - do you only bet AT+ here?
I think it's a big mistake to think we're folding out Tx and 9x with a single bet. It's a bigger mistake to think he's going to fold the turn or river just because we continue to bet on a brick runout.
It sounds like your plan is to just barrel off here, with ace high, even if we don't improve, hoping V will eventually fold his pair? How do you know he doesn't have 2P+, and isn't planning to check raise?
Honestly, I might not bet flop with AT, because I don't think we should try to get three streets of value with TPTK on this board texture that doesn't seem to favor our range, and I'd prefer to see what he does on the turn when we check back flop.
We can try to rep over-pairs, but if we keep betting and he keeps calling, he either doesn't believe us, or has our over-pairs beat. All we're doing by c-betting and barreling here is donating.