Quote:
Originally Posted by Olaff
"Some math or something".............. you're doing it wrong.
Jam Amount = 1630
Pot = 1200
Stand to win if called = 1630 + 1200 = 2830 and you should by multiply .45 by 2830.
The amount of dead money in the pot is 320+220+220=760. We haven't matched the additional $440 yet, so you can't include it, unless you also take it out of the jam amount. So, 760+1630=2390, or 1200+1190=2390.
And I did this **** while high
Quote:
Originally Posted by ThaNEWPr0fess0r
This is much better than your first post, but you still didn't assign him a range... You just said that "we have 55% equity" which may be accurate, but It would definitely be hard for OP to learn anything from that.
Maybe OP can put in some work himself and play around with a couple of ranges, instead of asking this forum to do all his thinking for him.
Quote:
Worst case scenario is that his range in this spot is like only sets and AA/KK. We definitely don't want to bet getting it in here with a flush draw against that range. Now... If he's c/ring 99-AA, sets, and combo draws OTF and folds 99-JJ when we jam but calls with the rest, then we may be okay.
The point I was trying to make was that even if we are 60/40 against flop c/r range I don't think this is a snap decision one way or the other. I mean, are we just snap getting it in here with AA-QQ? Seems like set mining against us would be highly profitable this deep.
Sure that is worse case, against OMC, not some 40 year old semipro TAG who has already raise our flop cbet a couple times and is doing it now in a good spot.
Set mining isn't profitable against our AA-QQ, because of the times we bet/fold our air, or hit a flush by the river, or set over set villain.