[5/10] Nitcall on the river with bottom set - Page 2 - Live Low-stakes No Limit Poker Forum

I should note that it makes a big enough difference whether Villain is SB or BB that I am assuming BB because otherwise I would expect some guess about preflop flat frequency.

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11-17-2016 , 08:25 AM

#27

day'n'night

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 1,523

Quote:

Originally Posted by tremblingco

This is just an easy flop raise. Villain's small sizing preflop should have us seeing the flop incredibly often and thus overfolding K62r relative to bare bluff odds. Especially if he's on the tighter side we can and should posit this is a 100% continuation bet scenario, which means that turn barrel frequency will be low, checking range will be balanced, and set loses a large amount of EV by flatting. I also imagine Hero has some frequency of KK, which is even more of a reason.

The idea of floating flop to raise turn sounds nice, but it's exploited pretty easily by check 100% (or very wide) turn strategy.

Small preflop sizing? He made it 85 from a 25 open, thats not what I would call small.

Im pretty sure raising flop here is just terrible. Both from a exploitative and GTO P.O.V.

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11-18-2016 , 06:06 AM

#28

n_gambol_n_future

newbie

Join Date: Nov 2016 Posts: 10

Quote:

Originally Posted by lolposting2016

Click it back otr

Normally, I don't ever like clicking it back in a live game. Bluffs and thin value raises are pretty much never in range anymore. However, if V is as tight as you are giving him credit for, click it back and hope he doesn't shove on you.

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11-19-2016 , 05:03 PM

#29

Alsi

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 361

click back river i think all is said - his range should be capped if standard nit pro

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11-19-2016 , 08:59 PM

#30

Teph

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 1,830

Quote:

Originally Posted by YGOchamp

"Nitreg 3bets me from the bb, I decide to call with 76s. Flop K62, I float flop and turn. River he bets $450, good spot for me to shove river as a bluff?"

A good theory point that many don't consider when they're wondering "can I get called by worse" is putting yourself in the same scenario with air and posing the question "can I bluff here?"

My guess is everybody would tell you that you're absolutely terrible for jamming river with 76s and AA/AK snapcalls a river jam

If he's actually just folding everything but the nuts then you need to be floating this guy super wide and just jamming a bunch of rivers. If you're not willing to adjust and create any sort of meta, then I think the pure highest net $$$ gain play would be to click it back as he probably folds never. But if you're clicking back all your sets then you basically are conceding that a bluffing range doesnt exist. Jam, if he folds then whatever. If you're that worried about losing 2k you're playing too big, drop to 2/5

haha this.

not shoving river is borderline nuts

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