it's way better to just try and break even because the button makes a lot of money in poker, i think you should just try and lose a little bit less on the blinds than the next guy because even the very best player has lost money on the BB

Trying to figure out how to attack this opponent profitably with 3bets. It is important to know how often he is folding to your 3bets. Is he folding much more than half the time when you 3bet?

I mean, it's way best to try to make the most +EV play possible, regardless of whether that is -0.25 (cause we already put a SB out there), 0 EV, or +0.25 EV.

GTO button opening is 40%, 70% is way too wide, so this player should be massively exploitable. Aggression tends to be very high EV vs too wide ranges

So, here i am not trying. to brag, i'm just stating a fact.

villain and i are probably the 2 best players in the room.

I am starting to get a lot of people coming up to me saying the exact same thing: I love this game but i keep losing. I can't really coach them because most people think they are going to the casino to double their stacks, I'm going there simply to steal blinds. The game is fundamentally a a fight for the blinds and only a handful of people understand that.

There is no place for these people to go for information. They've offered to pay me but I can't take their money because i can't make them a winner unless they start pre flop

50%

villain and i have adjusted to each others frequencies

attacking from the BB is not a good way to think...we are merely defending our blind here, we will attack people when it's our turn to get the button

this hand is just super interesting. villain is adjusting to me and giving me a 50/50 proposition to 3bet him

there is a lot of interesting math here, my range has adjusted in the following way

fold 34s 45s 56s, 67s is the lowest SC I will play here, it is actually a loser to a loose range and only a winner vs a tight range

i know this is an extremely advanced hand but I am 55 years old and have been a poker player since 16, so my game is extremely advanced and the people who love poker need to catch up a little

computer analysis is probably going to say what i say....this player has adjusted to my tendencies by having a 50/50 fold to 3 bet freq vs my range which means he is continuing with 35% of all possible hand combos, that's why 3betting K4s is better than 3betting 77 as the K blocks a significant portion of his flatting range

and notice that villain is not attacking everyones blinds at a 70% clip, he's attacking mine at that rate because he actually knows how i've adjusted, he's ramped up his freq % vs me (even tho i'm good) because he's figured out my strategy, so he is doing some high level GTO stuff, now it's just time to call OTR and get shown QJo, pretty disappointed i didn't see what he had, but he's caught me calling down light before and, well, i was outplayed,, nh

“Best player in game. Other people need to catch up a little”

“3bets K4s but flats QQ”

Confirmed not a serious thread and obvious troll.

Against a 70% BTN open you should be 3betting like 15-20% from the BB for value. You should never be flatting JJ+ — like zero frequency. The EV of raising with QQ is bigger than the EV of flatting, so you should always be raising with QQ.


I think you need to take a serious look at your preflop hand selection and study some charts. Upswing is a good place to start. Or check out Crush Live Poker or Jonathan Little’s training site. Poker starts at preflop.

i think 70% is as wide as he can go, anything more he would be massively exploitable, but this is deep stack and he has a fold button, he's forcing me to 3bet more, if you adjust by 3 betting more you put your stack at risk because he has position and can outplay you. That's how i view it so more toward blind defense than exploiting, i think you should use more defensive words for blind defense than aggressive ones against the best player OOP, but well timed aggression is def a good thing, there are a lot of check raises on this board as well but mostly check raising will never occur til the turn because it's only 25 and if i'm check raising it will be for more money, so small bet call was the only way this was going to go

you say it's massively exploitable, i say it's not because we are over 300 BB deep and variance control is going to be an issue OOP no matter what you have. 300 bb allows the button for a lot of play and 60% button raises could be standard, 70% isn't that far off, its only a T6o J6s off from 60, my instincts say he has added more raise/fold hands for all the hands i folded that are normal blind defenses vs less aggro players

I think my strategy here is actually fine, even tho villain knows it and knows that i know it, we have reached and equilibrium point, and I like my calling range and will simply call next time, and 3bet IP much more often. I will just play turns and rivers better

stop calling me a liar, you are not the guardian of poker knowledge. why should losing players pay for coaching?

Variance control isn't a thing if you have a proper bankroll.

Yes he has position, but 70% of hands is so many that we can 3bet many hands and still have a large range advantage, and we will be able to force him off a lot of his equity with our range advantage - and if he doesn't fold, then we'll just make a lot of money. A lot of his hands will be very low equity after you 3bet, whereas calling lets them realize more equity.

^ just to add to this, if I can't profitably do a lot of 3betting against a 70% range because they're too good, I'm moving tables unless the game has a massive donator in it.

There are multiple ways to adjust. You advocate opening your 3bet range, that means you are definitely 3betting suited kings and K4s should be in your 23% range

you think K4s is a light 3bet when i say that hand is super strong as is suited kings all the way up, and i'm also saying adding that only gets us to 15%, and i didn't do the math at all it's just a guess, i don't need the solvers help but other people do so if Quantum would like to post the numbers for my adjusted range please do so

yes, of course a 70% range is exploitable (we suspect), but you can adjust to it in several ways

seems like you want to be more aggressive but imo, that's exactly what villain wants me to do, he's an action player who enjoys high variance, so i give him low variance lines, i slow the game down that he wants to speed up, this is psychological warfare lol, i will play for stacks at my own pace

Dude isn't lying, but is delusional and isn't listening.

You aren't the best player in the room.

if you know all this
then you know to stop getting in leveling wars when OOP and crush him the other 5 times you have position.

read your posts they stink of EGO and how can I get the better of V from the blinds.

focus more on all the hands you have position on V .

I find it hard to see that every time you are BB every other player folds around to V so he can attack your blind , or does it just feel like every time?

I'm open to your suggestions, but i'd love to see the math, opening up your 3bet range to all aces and suited kings along with suited connectors is definitely a good counter strategy

he does fold a lot but he also will 4 bet us a lot, don't forget that, in fact he has a wide 4 bet range and will size it well and give us a lot of tough spots

so lets say he's folding 50% of his opens and 4betting 12% and lets see where the math takes us

I'm very well rolled for this game but variance control is always a thing especially when i'm OOP to the best player in the room. We concede that he is a better player than us and has a reckless image. We also know he plays nosebleed and beats that game too, he only plays 5/10 when the 25/50 doesnt run

I have been raising around 50% of buttons, i mean 40% is the sweet spot but i feel like this deep you get so many more flat calls, that maybe 60% is even better, you simply get people playing like me and not being aggressive with 77, i've been developing this strategy as the games get deeper....it's so deep that variance control is an issue for everyone, so i'm basically opening at least half the time in these games depending on who is on the blind but even so i think the computer may like opening wider at 300bb eff

one of the things that happens in deep stacks is that just calling becomes more attractive, so i don't think 40% is enough

anyway, i think i'm going to shift strategy against villain and play it a little more aggressively and maybe start 3betting much more frequently

thinking i might go Q9o+ K4s+, and ofc 77+ and being more ag with all aces