Quote:
Originally Posted by Mlark
I get that much of it, but why does TT prefer smaller size on the flop? Maybe it's because we block the thick value range, but unblock the 4x/wheel draw bluff reason of villain that will raise when we bet small.
Other question, if 44 unblocks top pair, why doesn't it overbet the turn, but AT does? Maybe because AT will raise flop overbet a lot while the next best thing, A4 will call, but we now block that as well, so we are still targeting Ax, maybe A8?
Without having a solve to look at (working) I would guess that if you’re using a 75%/OB strat OTF then TT w/ a club and/or heart would usually go for 75% size and the ones without would be more inclined to OB.
If it’s only really using 75% OTF then the reasons you mentioned also make some sense for sure. Main goal is to make majority of V’s range indifferent and V actually doesn’t have a lot of A4 in this config as it 3b’s preflop a lot, and even when they do have it, it’s going to xr vs 75% sizing anyway so OB doesn’t accomplish much in terms of generating EV.
As for 44 when we use flop OB we are filtering V’s range to mostly Ax/Tx w/ FD and flush draws/GS. But not even really all that much FD + GS as again those suited Broadway combos all 3b pre.
So OB/OB line really makes a lot of the combos that call flop have an easier decision OTT while 75% OTT after flop OB put all of those hands in a worse spot where it’s harder to make an easy decision.
Just spitballing, but I think there’s some overall decent logic in there. As for why AT does mix the OB OTT while 44 doesn’t much I’m not really all that sure tbh. Can’t really think of many good reasons why for that, but again, I’m pretty sure that the AT w/ FD blocks would be the combos using 75% after flop OB and unblocking the FD w/ ATo would prefer OB/OB cuz equity denial is also an important factor. It could also be that 44 gets xr’d on by most 2 pair hands OTT anyway after using flop OB while AT blocks more of the Ax/Tx two pair and thus wants to shovel in the $ faster OTT itself.
Theory is fun.
Best way to get the answers would be to look at OOP’s response to both nodes OTT.