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Originally Posted by docvail
VPIP'ing nearly 100% of hands isn't the same thing as 4B'ing 100% of hands. No one actually got a good look at V's cards in the Q7 hand. OP *THINKS* V had Q7, and apparently that was hours ago, before V dialed back on his pre-flop aggression.
I don't think he's 4B'ing ATC, but I think JTs, AJs, and ATs are easily within his 4B range, when he bets pot on the flop.
Sure, so we can put him on, lets say, a GTO 4 betting range. GTO calls or ships in this spot, so if we put him on a GTO 4 betting range, the only way we should fold is if V is underbluffing on the flop.
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Advocating for a snap call is an awesome way to gift-wrap your stack for V.
This is what i dont particularly like about your response. Its fine to disagree, but when a group of several respected winning players on these forums disagree with you, being so confident that you are right is just pure arrogance.
Like, at minimum, the chorus of opinions opposing your own ought to make you think “hmm, maybe its closer than i think, but i still think its a fold” but instead youre just digging in further, and each time around the merry go round your opinion has become even more intense than the previous time.
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Yes, pretty much. I think this is an easy fold, judging from what I've seen from maniacs, and what I've read from OP.
Im trying to understand your experience with maniacs that makes you think this. Because the defining feature of a maniac is that he bets too often postflop, so to say that a maniac is underbluffing in a spot would mean that theres something special about THIS spot where he wont overbluff.
My experience with maniacs is that they certainly come in all shapes and sizes, and most of them dont 4 bet bluff pre very often at all, so normally that would be alarm bells for me, but clearly this one 4 bet bluffs some, so against some maniacs, id agree that the 4 bet is suspicious of strength, but not this one.
My experience with maniacs also is that their sizing runs almost contrary to the strength of their hand. Big bet is weakness, small bet is strength, check is extreme strength (or just some air they decided to give up on).
Ive also felt that maniacs love to bet dynamic spots, and the flop is always dynamic of course. And they love to bet in spots where scared money loses their will.
All of this lines up with a classic maniac overbluff spot. Its on the flop, he bet almost suspiciously too large, its in some big spot where scared money overfolds. Im just not understanding what about this spot specifically makes you think the maniac is shutting down with the vast majority of his hands.
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I think it's a trivial fold. But, like I said, if you guys want to call with AK, or jam with AK, okay, next time you're in a spot like this with a V like this, by all means do it.
I feel like you are saying this as if the people who disagree with you are talking out of our ass about a hypothetical that involves someone elses money when we wouldnt have the balls to actually do it. Its just more weird and unnecessary arrogance at the idea that the people who are responding to you are inexperienced players talking about situations we have never been in. Its simply not true, and I have plenty of experience playing against maniacs, as im sure you have, and most of the others on here, and i definitely practice what I preach, and id expect most of the other players on these forums do as well.
My last trip to vegas I won maybe my biggest pot of the trip in a spot where i was stronger than ace high but to some degree it mightve been just a pure bluff since the AK had outs when called. Cant remember the exact details but this is about how I remember it.
2/5, someone straddled to $10 $2800 effective against a maniac, ive probably taken $1k off of him this session and he still has a $5k stack.
Maniac blind raises $25 utg before being dealt cards.
I go $75 with red 88, call call, maniac goes $500, I call, fold fold
Flop (~$1100) K75ss, he bets $1000, i jam $2300, he folds, picks up his remaining chips and leaves.
And if he had the K or AA or whatever, well, thats poker. Ive had that happen too.
Last edited by Tomark; 08-24-2024 at 12:52 AM.