Quote:
Originally Posted by Moke
Yesterday I was tired and did the math a bit fast. Today I have made the equation:
x= fold percentage
fold money+ equity money when called - money lose when called = 0 (EV)
248 * x + (248+279,5)*(1-x) * 0,2122 - 279,5 * (1-x) * 0,7878 = 0
248x + 527,5 * (1-x) * 0,2122 - 279,5 * (1-x) * 0,7878 = 0
248x + 111,9355 - 111,9355x - 220,1901 + 220,1901x = 0
356,2546 = 108,2546 --> x = 30,39%
We need him to fold more than 30,39%.
The way I see it, we only get the 3 QQs to fold, and the 3 AAs, KKs and JJs call, giving us 25% fold, and making a turn push -EV. I'm assuming 99 and TT fold flop. Thoughts?
