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4! pot JJ QJTQQ 4! pot JJ QJTQQ

06-30-2023 , 05:20 PM
Hi all,

2/5, V is good pro and opens to $20 in the co, hero 3! JJ btn to $65 $900 eff., V 4! to $140, hero calls.

Flop ($285): QJTcc. V $90, hero calls.

Turn ($465): Qc. V checks, hero checks for deception. Obviously betting is standard and fine but I wanted to get paid by this guy and I think he folds a lot of his range here and I'm more likely to get one street out of him if I feign weakness.

River: Qh. Get a pretty bad river, our hand is basially as strong as AJ now and loses to AA/KK but still beats bluffs. V bets $175.

Thanks,
DT
4! pot JJ QJTQQ Quote
06-30-2023 , 11:57 PM
Half pot turn obv. As played if he's a good pro prob stuck having to call, getting too good of a price. One of those spots where you can make an exploitative fold vs a lot of the population because they won't be bluffing nearly enough.
4! pot JJ QJTQQ Quote
07-01-2023 , 12:46 AM
I mean there's good pro. and there's having a good bluffing range on this river for less than half pot with a 4bet pre. range.


It feels like it's so often AA/KK/AQs/KQs and almost never like AK/Ac5c that turns itself into a great bluff (esp. for this sizing).


I think the turn check is FPS, but if you did it because you think V is going to way overbluff a lot of rivers then I guess you can sigh call. But if you did it because you thought he'd sigh call 1/2 pot on brick rivers with value hands but would fold turn (seems sus reasoning) then I guess still fold.
4! pot JJ QJTQQ Quote
07-01-2023 , 04:55 AM
V is a good pro who minraise 4bets OOP vs BTN? does not compute
4! pot JJ QJTQQ Quote
07-01-2023 , 01:11 PM
just bet the freaking turn
4! pot JJ QJTQQ Quote
07-02-2023 , 02:18 AM
If they're a good pro, then I think trying to go too hard exploitatively to extract value can be a bad choice if you're frequently in this player pool. You probably don't even have to bet huge here either, which allows them to peel a large portion of their range, applies pressure, and allows them to checkraise with things you beat.

3bet seems slightly too small at this stack depth.
4! pot JJ QJTQQ Quote
07-02-2023 , 04:30 AM
Ugh, just call river as we are getting a good price.

Losing to a royal as well as AA, KK, AQ, KQ. So 13 of the 16 main value 4bets (AA, KK, AKs), and a good amount of the 4bet bluffs that have a Q. We still beat AKo, I guess.

Turn should be a bet, but probably not a huge EV loss.
4! pot JJ QJTQQ Quote
07-02-2023 , 02:55 PM
We lose to AcKc, AA, KK, AQ, KQ. We beat, AK not AcKc and TT. I'm not sure how often we see 4-bets with KQ or TT or any other holding not listed. Its $175 to win $800 I think. I'm thinking folding or calling can't be terrible but probably folding is best. Only hand I see V "bluffing" with is AKo.

Would rather see betting turn.
4! pot JJ QJTQQ Quote

      
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