Quote:
Originally Posted by $tack$Poker
I am going to pretend that I made so awesome exploitative read. In reality I had no idea what to do and I had a purple $500 chip in front of me for the first time in my life and said—- this looks right. I am so freaking lucky sometimes. I won that purple chip when someone 4-bet jammed into me when I had KK and it held.
Sometimes we make the "wrong" play and it works out anyway. Your 4B sizing was probably "wrong" in theory and often from an exploitative view, but could still be seen as logically defensible, depending on your reads and live tells.
Like, you know he's stuck, probably tilted, he may be looking for revenge against you specifically, it sounds like he gave away a timing tell with his 3B, and his sizing is more than likely also a tell.
But, what do we do with that info?
Maybe we can get away with >4x 4B'ing him for half our stack and he doesn't fold, and we either get the rest when he 5B jams pre, or we get the rest when he jams the A-high flop. Maybe he levels himself into thinking you always have AA/KK and he frustration-folds TT-QQ.
So, if we're playing at our best, in your spot, against this V, we should choose a bet sizing that is least likely to make him fold, and most likely to induce a raise, or at worst allows him to call with a wider but capped range. More often than not, a smaller, more "normal" 4B sizing is probably going to get fewer folds, and allows him to jam or flat call more.
If we think his $115 3B really should have been $75-$90, and our 4B might be around 2.2x-2.5x, give or take, well...our min-raise over his $115 3B over our $15 open would be $215, so $225-$275 seems like the right 4B size, and will still leave us enough behind for his 5B jam to have some theoretical fold equity.
If we think about the spot from his view, his only 5B size is a jam, so he's faced with a decision of folding to a small 4B, calling and playing OOP with a capped range, or jamming, risking $1000 to win less than $300. His tilt factor might push him towards wanting to gamble more.
Compare that to 4B'ing half our stack, effectively laying him 1:1 on a 5B jam. This sizing doesn't leverage his potential tilt nearly as much.