0.25/0.50 home game that is at its tail end; we are down to 4 players late in the night. All players involved have extensive history with each other. As a whole, game tends to be very "hero-call" like.
Hero: Typically a LAG with a winning image. I've adjusted my game against these guys because I realized I don't have much fold equity in most spots that I commonly would, so now I'm playing a little more TAGish. Not sure if they've picked up on that recent trend though.
Villain: Losing TAG. Not a terrible player by any means but still a Level 1 thinker. He has added the ability to bluff to his arsenal (he didn't until 1-2 months ago), but it's difficult to know how often he does it because he doesn't get to showdown often. Probably gets the most respect for PF raises of anyone at the table.
Hand:
Villain (UTG/CO) raises to $2
Hero (BTN) looks down at A
J
and 3bets to $7.25
SB (irrelevant) calls
BB folds
Villain calls
Flop ($22.25): Q
J
5
SB checks
V leads $15. I've seen him donk with a wide range of TP type hands to draws.
Hero calls
SB folds
Turn ($52.25) 4
V checks
Hero checks. I still can't really tell if he's pot controlling with Qx, or if he's trying to draw for free. But I figure my hand is small, so I want to keep the pot small and use position.
River ($52.25) K
V bets $27.
How should we range V? Do we call or fold river?