300NL: Playing a straight draw between a random and a passive station
02-16-2011
, 07:36 AM
$1/$3 NLHE, B&M Casino, 10 Handed
Hero is on the Button with 7
8 and has $230 behind.
Villain # 1 is in the HJ with about $280
Villain # 2 is UTG+1 with about $400 behind
Preflop:
UTG Folds, UTG+1 Raises to $13, 3 Folds, HJ Calls $13, 1 Fold, Hero Calls $13, 2 Folds
Flop: ($38)
6
J
5
UTG + 1 checks, HJ Bets $20, Hero Calls $20, UTG + 1 Calls $20
Turn: ($98)
2
UTG + 1 Checks, HJ Bets $45, Hero????
UTG + 1 is an average player, not horrible but not great. He doesn’t totally value position properly and he overplays his high cards as far as I can tell. He has played maybe 20% of hands and was not always best at showdown. Not much history with him. HJ is a passive calling station. History with HJ:
I raised IP w/QTo and HJ limp-called. The flop blanked 9-8-2. HJ checked and I c-bet, he flatted (we are heads up). The turn blanked out. HJ checks, and I double barreled the turn and he flatted. The river came an Ace. He checked and I conceded and checked back. He showed down AKo for a pair of Aces. Another hand I raised 5xpre with AKs IP and he limp-called. Board came out 8-6-3. HJ checked and I fired out a c-bet. He called and the turn paired 3’s. Turn and river were checked down and he showed 99. So he really seems like a station to me.
This hand HJ is betting out so I know he has a hand he values as strong. Given history, I doubt he is betting a flush draw. Given player type, he would wait for a flush and not bet a flush draw, right? What about UTG+1? Would he raise pre and check call the flop with a flush draw? I am putting him on a single pair type hands. Any possibility that he has a flush draw here?
I feel as though if a 4 or 9 comes off on the river and I shove, I will get paid off by HJ a large percentage of the time. Given implied odds and all, do I have enough in my stack to make calling the turn profitable? How often does HJ have to pay me off on the river to make this a +EV play? Is my stack too short? I have about $150ish I can stick in. I still have to worry about UTG+1. The double suitedness of the board makes this more complicated. What’s our play in this spot?
Hero is on the Button with 7
8 and has $230 behind.Villain # 1 is in the HJ with about $280
Villain # 2 is UTG+1 with about $400 behind
Preflop:
UTG Folds, UTG+1 Raises to $13, 3 Folds, HJ Calls $13, 1 Fold, Hero Calls $13, 2 Folds
Flop: ($38)
6
J5UTG + 1 checks, HJ Bets $20, Hero Calls $20, UTG + 1 Calls $20
Turn: ($98)
2
UTG + 1 Checks, HJ Bets $45, Hero????
UTG + 1 is an average player, not horrible but not great. He doesn’t totally value position properly and he overplays his high cards as far as I can tell. He has played maybe 20% of hands and was not always best at showdown. Not much history with him. HJ is a passive calling station. History with HJ:
I raised IP w/QTo and HJ limp-called. The flop blanked 9-8-2. HJ checked and I c-bet, he flatted (we are heads up). The turn blanked out. HJ checks, and I double barreled the turn and he flatted. The river came an Ace. He checked and I conceded and checked back. He showed down AKo for a pair of Aces. Another hand I raised 5xpre with AKs IP and he limp-called. Board came out 8-6-3. HJ checked and I fired out a c-bet. He called and the turn paired 3’s. Turn and river were checked down and he showed 99. So he really seems like a station to me.
This hand HJ is betting out so I know he has a hand he values as strong. Given history, I doubt he is betting a flush draw. Given player type, he would wait for a flush and not bet a flush draw, right? What about UTG+1? Would he raise pre and check call the flop with a flush draw? I am putting him on a single pair type hands. Any possibility that he has a flush draw here?
I feel as though if a 4 or 9 comes off on the river and I shove, I will get paid off by HJ a large percentage of the time. Given implied odds and all, do I have enough in my stack to make calling the turn profitable? How often does HJ have to pay me off on the river to make this a +EV play? Is my stack too short? I have about $150ish I can stick in. I still have to worry about UTG+1. The double suitedness of the board makes this more complicated. What’s our play in this spot?
