Quote:
Originally Posted by OGfromOCC
This is what I tried to do.
I paused for about 6 seconds and bombed the river for $300.
V actually tanked for 1-2 minutes, which had me hoping, but ultimately folded.
Then I started thinking I made a big mistake, that $300 was way too much, and he probably would have called something in the $100-150 range if that prolonged tank meant anything.
I’d be curious to learn whether it’s a “solver-approved” sizing. My thinking was:
1) We are going to very often arrive at this River with a medium-strength hand that’s happy to check down. AA, KK, AQ, KQ, AJ, etc, these are all hands we just want to check back and get to showdown. (We will have bet all our sets earlier.)
2) Therefore, the only hand we’ll want to bet for value will be a straight, and the only straights we’ll have here are TT and ATs.
3) The only hand we’ll have that needs to bluff is exactly AK. Everything else has some showdown value.
4) Since we are very rarely betting on this River—since our betting
frequency is very
low—therefore, our betting
size should be
huge.
But as I said, would be happy to hear from the actual experts here. But I’m pretty sure OP is right to overbet with TT (so long as he’d do the same with AK!)