Quote:
Originally Posted by davomalvolio
So GTO says you should continue on the Cutoff after the SB 3-bets you with ALL your pairs down to 44, AND all your suited aces, AND most of your suited connectors, down to 65s.
Now, some caveats: that’s the range for if YOU’d open-raised, and also it’s assuming the SB only raised 4x your bet, not 5x. (And bigger: it’s not taking into account that LLSNL players 3-bet way less than they should.) So that’s why the continue range seems so impossibly large—calling this with T8s or 55 seems like lighting money on fire to me and I would never do it.
I suspect using *actual* LLSNL 3-betting ranges, and factoring in the 5x-sizing you were facing, that 88 emerges closer to a fold. But I can’t imagine either decision is *too* bad in terms of EV.
You’re modeling a situation (hero opens CO, SB 3-bets 4x) that’s very far off what actually happened (CO opened 5x, hero CC BU, SB 3bet 5x) and more importantly you use an opening range for CO that’s nowhere near what the actual opening range is. How do I know the latter without knowing which range you used? Because the continuation range you list includes hands that “a very tight player” wouldn’t even open from the CO.
There’s a GTO solution if you start at step 1 (CO opening) and one that starts at step 6 (hero facing the 3bet) but for the latter you have to input what actually happened in steps 1-5. If you use what should have happened in steps 1-5 instead, you get to a result that might do more harm than good.