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3/6; Big bluff deep against pokeyface 3/6; Big bluff deep against pokeyface

07-14-2008 , 05:20 AM
Villian is a standard tag who I think plays higher then this. We had a hand together just before where I played the hand the same way as the hand in question and showed 999 to beat his TP.

Poker Stars $3/$6 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BTN: $939.00
SB: $358.00
Hero (BB): $1188.75
UTG: $764.00
UTG+1: $291.00
UTG+2: $373.65
MP1: $400.00
MP2: $600.00
CO: $541.85

Pre Flop: Hero is BB with 7 9
6 folds, BTN raises to $24, 1 fold, Hero calls $18

Flop: ($51.00) 3 8 5 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $42, Hero raises to $162, BTN calls $120

Turn: ($375.00) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $225

Dont ask me what the preflop call is about, probably a misclick. Im pretty sure he can fold an overpair in this situation as it really looks like im setting myself up to shove the river with my set. My flatting range could potentially hit this board pretty hard as I would have flatted all small pairs as we are fairly deep.

As for his range; im pretty sure he has some kind of overpair. With a set or monster combo draw im inclined to think he would look to stack off on the flop.

Oh yea and I got 4 outs which adds a little bit of EV to my play. Basically I think this is a good situation for villian to fold an overpair as he likely expects me to give up the turn with a draw (and 67 got there) and villian is the type who can fold overpairs.

Thoughts?
3/6; Big bluff deep against pokeyface Quote
07-14-2008 , 07:01 AM
I don't mind this, as long as it's not too often. I'd raise less on the flop i think , and more on the turn
3/6; Big bluff deep against pokeyface Quote
07-14-2008 , 07:57 AM
If I were going to represent a set I wouldnt do it bb vs button. I think hes more apt to call here then he would if your positions were deeper. If he has KK or AA I think hes at least going to call and you will be in a very tough spot 91% of the time on the river.
3/6; Big bluff deep against pokeyface Quote
07-14-2008 , 11:12 AM
terrible sizing. raise 130 on the flop so you can 2/3 turn and shove 3/4 to a full pot on river. your sizing leaves barely over a HP bet on river.

but yeah a lot of overpairs will fold to pot river shoves. half pot i dont think nearly as much. maybe if the river is a u will fold for a HP
3/6; Big bluff deep against pokeyface Quote
07-14-2008 , 11:30 AM
i dont think too many overpairs are gonna be flatcalling OOP on the turn
3/6; Big bluff deep against pokeyface Quote

      
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