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3/5 Do I fold or continue? 3/5 Do I fold or continue?

01-25-2013 , 05:45 PM
Hero (1600) CO: Has been crushing the table with a mixture of bluffs and made hands. Shown down only good made hands post flop, but a couple have been with speculative starting hands. Involved in 2-3 hands per orbit. Raising about 1.5 times per orbit.

Villain (550) BB: Only solid player at table. Has not shown any weak hands. Plays 1-2 hands per orbit almost always raising. Previously value bet river on K-4-4-2-7 board when hero 3bet pre with QQ. Hero also had QQ for chopped pot. Hero also bluffed Villain after calling IP with 76s. Hero bet river on 5-5-3-2-2 board.

Hero raises 25 over two limpers with J9ss.
Villain in BB calls. Limpers call.
Flop (100) A-5-3cc. Check to hero who bets 45. Only Villain calls.
Turn (190) 4s putting two spades on board. Villain leads for 80.

Hero??
3/5 Do I fold or continue? Quote
01-25-2013 , 06:27 PM
Why are you raising such a small amount pre that you got 3 calls? If you're at a table where people are limp/calling like crazy, raise more or nit up. Don't play hands like J9 suited 4 ways with SPRs down in the mid single digits, you have little room to operate postflop.

Why are you c betting this 4 way flop with almost no equity given your image? At least one of them has an ace a fair amount of the time. Reads really matter on the flop, but I think this is a check.

What range do you put the villain on when he calls from the BB and then calls the flop? I think he leans toward a strong ace or a pair that made a set a lot here unless you think he can float you light with medium pocket pairs. The turn bet strengthens his hand range to me, I doubt he check/called flop and led turn with, say, 77-TT.

On the turn you're often drawing to at most 9 outs (i.e. 20% of the time), villain can have Axss, and there's no guarantee you get paid much if you hit the river here given your read that the villain isn't a bad player. Your calling equity isn't big, but his bet is probably small enough you can see the river. It's really close, though, I don't think a fold is outright terrible.

If you can give us more on villain's range, that would be helpful.
3/5 Do I fold or continue? Quote
01-25-2013 , 07:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by The Rumor
Why are you raising such a small amount pre that you got 3 calls? If you're at a table where people are limp/calling like crazy, raise more or nit up. Don't play hands like J9 suited 4 ways with SPRs down in the mid single digits, you have little room to operate postflop.

Why are you c betting this 4 way flop with almost no equity given your image? At least one of them has an ace a fair amount of the time. Reads really matter on the flop, but I think this is a check.


If you can give us more on villain's range, that would be helpful.
Since the blinds, especially villain, were tight I expected to be in a 3 way flop. The limpers both had over $800 so I anticipated an SPR of over 10 and they both check folded lots of hands previously. If I raised more I would not be called by the limpers.

On the flop, both limpers started to check out when I began to cut chips.

This was the first hand I had seen the Villain check call a flop. But doing so with two players behind him is strong except that he could have noticed them checking out of the hand too.

I tentatively put him on a range of mid pairs and Axs type hands. I think he was one of the few people who realized I was opening lighter in LP so I thought he would make a stand in this spot. But he also could have club draw or a set.

When he led the turn I was confused. It could have been a blocker bet with a draw. It could have been a straight w /A2s. It could have been a set.

I thought about raising, calling, and folding. I figured a raise would get rid of all draws and mid pairs(but I didn't think he would lead with them often.

I figured I would stack him with the flush if he had a set or straight because it would be tough for him to fold for a PSB when the front door flush and straight missed.

I thought about folding in case he had Axss as then I am drawing dead.
3/5 Do I fold or continue? Quote

      
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