2/5 Horseshoe Hammond IN
Villain (~$450) Late 20s African-American male. Straight forward play (tight not hugely aggressive) in session to date. Was stacked once with top 2 vs. draw that got there, rebought to $300 and changed seats to be on left of aggro player (so def has table awareness).
Hero (covers, ~$600) 30s Caucasion male. While usually LAG/monkey, has tight/straight forward image this session as has shown been showing tight PF raising range cards if take down pot PF (or in one case in multi-way pot when a player donked huge on low board got folds around to Hero who showed AK with a "great flop...for you" type comment) and generally playing up the "I play high cards" newbish player image.
A couple points that may or may not factor in hand, depending on how aware Villain is:
1) Pot is stradled 30-50% of time
2) Hero open raised from EP to $20 in non-straddled pot, took down blinds, showed AA (first time of 5-10 EP raises it was folded through). Agro player said "The $20 raise scared me more than the $35 you've been doing" implying bet sizing tell pre-flop. Hero has not varied from $20 + $5/limper in non-straddled and $35+$10/limper in straddled strategy entire session
3) Hero has won 2 pots (probably only 2 of session) with 3-barrels on A-high board, both times getting (different) 50ish mediocre regs off hands (both times with small suited connectors, but obv never shown down). Don't think Hero has fired 2 barrels and not fired third entire session.
OK, on to hand.
Pre-flop
Villain straddles. Hero (MP) opens to $35 with 9
9
. Fold to Villain who calls to close.
Flop (~$75) 5
3
3
Villain checks. Hero bets $50. Villain calls.
Turn (~$175) 6
Villain checks. Hero ?
I'd love thoughts between checking behind (with intention to call any river, though would love to hear if anyone advocates folding board double pairing or flush getting there) or betting (and, if so, with intention to bet/fold or bet/stack off).
FWIW, with no flush draw out there, I think this is an easy check behind/call river as I think Villain's range is more heavily weighted to made hands that I'm either way behind or way ahead of and not overly worried about a free card (though obv I'd prefer, say, an 8 on the turn and a J on the river), and my plan is to generally try to get 2 streets of value in situations like this (as Villain can value-own himself with a worse made hand and if he checks I can bet for value). However, with the flush draw out there I think it makes it a closer call and an interesting strategic decision.
Thanks for any input!