Quote:
Originally Posted by ChaosInEquilibrium
2/5 with mandatory straddle.
Villain is a local pro who plays higher. TAG. He’s opening correct ranges, and 3betting at correct frequencies. Always buys in for 5k to cover the table.
Semi-bad LAG who is steaming opens CO to 35. Villain flats BTN, folds to us in Straddle. We complete with JTo.
2k effective with both players.
Flop: 988r (110)
Check, check, V bets 40, Hero x/r to 130, V call.
Turn: 6x (370) (I don’t remember if it brought backdoor flush draw)
Hero bets 240, V folds.
I have a question about preflop. I have JTo as pure defend against CO open facing 3x size. I assume I should tighten my ranges with the extra player in the hand and the 3.5x sizing, and I wasn’t sure if JTo makes the cut. Also conflicted about wanting to play a hand against the steaming player. Not sure on preflop decision. In the moment I felt this was borderline and very nearly 3bet then decided I probably didn’t have much FE versus steaming player so settled on a call.
Next question: If V calls turn, does my hand function well as a bluff on a non-board pair, non J/T river? If yes, thoughts on sizing?
Other comments on line would be appreciated.
So I think the read on the main villain is more helpful than the read on the opener, insofar is he actually playing preflop correctly from a frequency perspective or moreso is he flatting reasonable hands but playing wider than he should be. Because vs. a 3.5x I bet his theoretical flatting range should be under 5% while if he pure calls 22-99 that's already 4%, so I think the question is what he might show up with here. A8s, 98s, and 87s I assume are close to pure folds in theory, which will affect a lot of postflop. The range he should have here in theory should consist of a lot of AJs/KQs/A5s/AQo types that completely whiff, but in practice different people flat the button very differently (especially if he thinks he has edge vs. PFR), especially with the pocket pairs.
Anyway, preflop all 3 options are close and I really don't mind mixing in the 3 bet here now and then (probably better with QJo than JTo but you will knock out the good player in button who is capped), I think given you feel like you have good reads on the PFR I would strongly lean to call
On the flop main option is xr but xc is also fine. A lot of good players tend to overcall pocket pairs preflop and undercall other hands so I think his sizing makes sense protecting hands like 55 multi-way.
Turn sizing seems fine
On river I like firing because you should never be bluffing with an 8/9 obviously, so then next best cards to block in my opinion are a J/T to block JJ/TT. I also think people rely too much on blockers for bluffs and not enough on just betting bottom of ranges at right frequency especially in spots where it is unclear what you want to block, and JT is obviously nut-low for you
For sizing on the river I like pot, you are repping trips+ so want to go large, but if you go too large he can mainly just call down 99/88
I think the main thing to keep in mind is you have a lot of JT combos going to flop, so I think you want to mix flop xc/xr and as played on turn want to mix bet/xc/xr and not keep too many combos in one line. I find common mistake for people is to bet 100% on the turn after check raising flop on a card that does not improve you that much (just T7s gets there for you)