V1 limps UTG - he's limping pretty wide here with lots of suited trash, but also plenty of premiums like AJ, 99 type hands.
I overlimp UTG+2 with 9
8
- I fold sometimes, open sometimes, overlimp sometimes here. Young looking rec reg, V2 has seen me open light / bluff a lot but also value bet thin.
V2 raises in the co to $25 - he's a young regular, probably opening ~14-16% here, got some aggression to him but doesn't get way out of line
We are all 1k effective
V1 calls, I overcall - could fold especially out of position but with V1 in the pot + deep stacks I think my implied odds are good.
Flop: 3
7
T
($75)
Check to V2, he bets $50, V1 calls, I overcall
Leading this flop is a decent idea, since V2 can't call too light with V1 behind, but in general I expect V1 to continue a lot, so I also expect V2 to check back this flop a decent amount of the time, and I don't mind taking a free card here.
Raising the flop is possible, but with the above V2 has a decently strong range here, and V1 is going to be calling loose.
I'm calling $50 to win $175, so I'm ~$30 short of my direct odds, so I need to win ~30*4 or 5, so ~120-200, which with $225 and 2 streets should be possible
Turn: 6
($225)
V1 checks, I check, V2 checks
****. Should I bet here? V2 would probably bet a lot of hands with how drawy the board is, and because we expect him to check back the flop with a decent amount of air, we should expect him to have a made hand here pretty often and bet. Then we trap V1 for another bet and can get stacks in.
River: A
($225)
V1 checks, I bet $225, V2 calls, V1 folds
The A is a great card for us, improving V2's likely remaining air to top pair, looking like a scare card + flush draw missing gives us plenty of bluffs, and with a large sizing we look less like the nut flush draw that made a TP and going for thin value. Also chance it made V1 aces up or TP with his own flush draw.