CLIFFNOTES: puke fold believe it or not
This is an interesting conundrum Based on the limited information we have, do we think this kid would/could overvalue AQ, AJ, KQ????
And through associative logic I think the answer is yes.
However, the next question is, would this kid 3-bet with AQ, AJ, KQ???
And therein lies the rub. What flavor of fish are we dealing with????.
If V was an aggro spewtarded fish. Then 100% absolutely we get it in here with AK.
However, if V is an passive spewtarded fish (which the first hand shows he is just passive spewtarded) then that means his 3-bet range should be exclusively QQ+, AK with majority weight to QQ+
Given that he hasn't 3-bet in 3 orbits (which is about an hour of live play) that makes the case that he is more on the passive side. So, lets say his range is JJ+, AK
Quote:
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
3,530,938 games 2.953 secs 1,195,712 games/sec
Board:
equity
Hand 0: 40.557% { AKs, AKo }
Hand 1: 59.443% { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
as sick as it sounds, we need more dead money in the pot here in order to shove since we are behind equity wise.
This is counter-intuitive. Just because a villain is super fishy passive doesn't mean he is super fishy aggro.
And based on the limit info we have, this villain is super fishy passive which means his 3-bet range is going to be JJ+, AK and that is generous. Its more likely QQ+, AK with majority weight being QQ+. Not to mention he is raising from the blinds!
so believe it or not, this is a fold
In order for this to be a snap shove, I would have had to have seen this kid 3-bet around once per orbit or seen him 3-bet with KQ or AJ or garbage. But since he hasn't 3-bet in 3-orbits and this is his first 3-bet and its from the blinds...
His range is QQ+, AK all day everyday and this range crushes us