Originally Posted by Willyoman
I mean, here's the thing. It's a good idea to let this guy bet into you on certain boards. However, I don't think it's great to check to him on a KcQs7c flop, and I would just bet this flop for value.
This texture just crushes his pre-flop calling range, unless he's so loose pre that he can have ~ATC... KJ, KT, QJ, QT, JT, AJ, AT, Q9s, Q8s, K9s, K8s, T9, J9, 98cc, T9cc, 65cc, 86cc, Axcc, etc. - broadway cards, flush draws, straight draws, gut shot draws, backdoor draws, pairs, pairs + draws, etc.
Next, when you check to him, and he bets $100 - OK, yes, despite what I posted above, I'm a little less interested in just a c/c now. $100 is a relatively huge bet. I actually don't mind a check/jam facing a bet of $100. But when I'm initially deciding to check, I'm doing it to check/call. I would change that plan when he makes a much larger bet than I would have expected.
The thing is, when you check/jam, you're getting him to fold plenty of hands with very little equity. And that highlights a fallacy of checking this board. Like if this guy is very aggro, maybe he will sometimes raise the flop with a very low equity hand like AT if you bet $75. Or call two large bets on two streets, and then we can check some rivers to him. But if you check/shove, he will fold.
So back to the start - I would just lead the flop for value yourself and never fold even though this is a villain who could get aggressive on his own. Again, this flop just crushes any reasonable pre-flop continuing range, and he can give you lots of value with worse. Maybe you can bet smaller to induce the aggro instead of checking.
I think the best line is:
- Lead flop, don't fold. If he calls, bet turn. If he calls, I think that leaves us with a 1/2 PSB on the river. At that point, you can decide whether to shove for value or check/call to induce.
If you're going to check the flop, I think it has to be with the plan to check/call. It's not a plan I like, but c/c > check/shoving.
However, if you do check the flop, and as played, and villain bets $100, which I think is a pretty huge bet (in the OP, you said villain makes small bets to steal post flop), then I think he has a pretty strong range which is wide with all sorts of draws, the occasional 77, and Kx type hands that can level themselves into calling check/shoves. So facing the $100 bet, check/shove.
