2/5 OESFD OTF vs TAG and station
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,464
V1 is TAG competent mid 30s grinder with a solid opening range (top 15%), will take flops IP very wide (see HH below). V2 plays top 40% hands from any position to a single raise pre. Hero has LAG image tending toward the insane. Recently stacked a rec player in a limped pot w/nut straight v straight on a four-liner board.
V1 history from earlier in session: ES 750 Hero opens 76s MP 20 V flats BU. Flop 982cc Hero cbet 30, call and V raises 150, Hero ships folds to V calls. Hero binks, V mucks 92s.
No significant history with V2 (he doesn't pay much attention), but I've played with him several times and seen him call 3 streets with J7s on J-hi two-tone coordinated board, etc.
ES 640
V1 opens 30 HJ, Hero flats 87dd BU, V2 flats SB, BB folds.
Flop (110) Td 4c 9d
V2 donks 65 with what I'm assuming is {T8s, JT-AT}. V1 insta-raises to 200, which seems like a solid betsizing tell for 2-pair, sets.
Against that range we are basically even money with V1 ~47-47. I'm comfortable removing TT as V2 should donk TP often.
We know that V1 always calls a ship here. Flatting at even money allows us to pick up some effectively dead money from V2. We have about 32% equity on most blank turns as well, so when V2 ships turn (assuming we miss), we can still profitably call (405 into 1,115 = 2.75-1; we need 2.1-1 only).
Thoughts?
Last edited by scelsi; 05-07-2014 at 09:21 AM.
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 244
You already wrote the analysis...Is V2 the type to stick around if you flat? If your read on him indicates he is folding to the aggression from V1 and you are sure V1 will call a shove, then get it in otf.
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 12,487
Seems like you have it figured out.
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 1,464
Yea, it was mainly a question of confirming the logic and ranges.
Join Date: Jan 2012
Posts: 1,210
Sounds like a solid plan of attack