Quote:
Originally Posted by Steve00007
I'm okay with either flatting or folding PF, but not thrilled about flatting because it doesn't even feel like we have an edge. I guess flatting might be okay because of the possibility that villain could check the flop with weaker hands (seems pretty low though) or the possibility we flop a set.
Flop is another one I could go either way on. I'm either jamming or folding. If we fold here though it feels like what we did was really close to just set mining.
When deciding to call pre it was 70% set mine 30% exploitative play in my mind. We were getting 10:1 direct/implied which I think is enough when we can make the necessary exploitative folds on AKx flops.
The 30% exploitation was seeing how V would react on overpair flops. The question now is:
did villain make a great bluff on the flop or a poorly sized value bet?
Based on my previous KK hand, he probably doesn't expect me to fold an overpair, especially when villain made a pot committing 200/225 bet on the flop. I think that is why villain chose to over bet AA/JJ because he figured I had a strong range of KK/QQ and would stack off. If he had chosen a smaller sizing there is a good chance I call at least one street or even stack off.
