Quote:
Originally Posted by AlexM
I think the point he's making is that the only reason to flat preflop is if you can stack off here profitably. Flatting when you can't stack off on this board is bad.
maybe that's what he's saying. I still don't entirely agree with that reasoning either though.
Let's re-iterate that I suggested I would probably 3bet too. I'm doing it more for the value in the money that's already in the pot, more so than the fact that AQ is ahead of his range, because we don't know if that's true for calling ranges.
We aren't given that much info. OP says that 3bets are all getting called. But that maybe $20 opens getting 3bet to $60. Not $25 opens getting 3 callers and getting squeezed to $100-150. I'd think your AQ is doing pretty bad if we make it $200 as suggested.
If we flat here, we don't have to stack off to justify it. Keeping in worse Qx hands and Ax hands is a good thing, and we can get value out of them post flop. That value just isn't present when faced with the action we are faced with though.
In keeping with the "repping" theme. dgi is suggesting we are under repped preflop because we don't 3bet. But once the the A97 board rolls of and we call the cbet, we are no longer under repped. AQ is definitely in our range. As is A9, A7, 97, 99, 77 (even those we are c/r or leading those hands some % of the time), to go along with our weaker hands like T8s, 86s and some Ax hands maybe. Then he wants to shove the turn, in essence over repping our hand because that shove is going to be super scary for any competent villain unless dgi is a maniac staking off with any TP every hand.
edit: This is slightly embarrassing, but I have read the action wrong all along. I thought the preflop raiser was the villain. It still doesn't change that much though, given there was still 5 to the flop, and he got two callers on the flop. Which means his turn bet range is still very strong.