Quote:
Originally Posted by Ineeda2
I disagree with checking this flop. There are so many hands in their range that we can get value from. Knowing their tendencies to c/rai allows us to be more comfortable when calling later in the hand.
flop 5h6h5c: way too little value hands are going to be c/rai here. 55,56,66,7h8h
even if we bet like 45 into 60 and he makes it 165.(we still have bd fd at this point) We're going to be able to call and evaluate a turn and river and not go broke.
I'm not so sure. The only way we can keep from playing for stacks (if villain wants to force it) is if we let a street check through. Otherwise, the following "could" happen.
Scenario #1
Flop(60): 5
6
5
V1 chks, V2 chks, Hero bets $55, V1 c/r to $155, V2 calls, Hero calls
Turn(525) 3
V1 bets $400, V2 folds, Hero calls
River(1325) X
V1 goes all-in for $900-ish...
Scenario #2
Flop(60): 5
6
5
V1 chks, V2 chks, Hero bets $55, V1 c/r to $155, V2 folds, Hero calls
Turn(370) 3
V1 bets $300, Hero calls
River(970) X
V1 goes all-in for $900-ish...
Basically, unless we check one street, we will be unable to prevent villain from forcing us to play for stacks. So it's incorrect to assume that we can play 3 streets here and "not" be in danger of playing for stacks.
And whenever we are playing for stacks in a spot like this with AA for 200bb+, it just rarely works out well for AA
or put another way. Do we really expect villain to stack off 200bb+ with 99 or TT here???
Again, standard villains and standard situations I'm all for a bet-bet-bet line. But based on OP I don't think that is optimal for reasons i've outlined