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[2/5 Live] Extracting max value when flopping top two [2/5 Live] Extracting max value when flopping top two

09-08-2019 , 01:04 AM
Sat down at this table 30 min ago so don't have many reads on players. Villain does seem to be fishy because he's limp calling a decent amount.

OTTH 2/5 NL

Effective stack: 900

Preflop Hero UTG with A Q

Hero opens 20. My standard open with no limpers.

MP, BTN (Villain), BB all call

Flop (4 players) ($80): A Q 3

BB checks.
Hero?

Hero checks. Sometimes raising here for sure but we block a lot of their calling range besides diamonds. And I think unless someone has a diamond draw, everyone's going to fold to a flop c bet.
Additionally, I need some strong hands in my check call range.

Checks to Villain on the BTN who bets 65
BB calls.

Hero?

Hero just flats.

With BTN's sizing, I'm squarely putting him on Ax or 33.
BB has a flush draw here a lot.

If I x/r here, it looks so nutted that I'm not sure we're ever getting worse to call. If I let a card roll off and it's not a diamond, we can probably play for stacks.

Turn (2 players) ($280): A Q 3 9

Great turn, shouldn't change anything. Sometimes it gives BTN a worse 2 pair.

Checks to BTN who bets 125.

BB folds.

_Hero?_

Spoiler:
Hero goes all in for 700 into 405.

Villain's line seems heavily weighted to Ax hands here. So I'm pretty sure I'm good here.

Tons of action killer rivers so I think we definitely want to raise. But if we raise a standard 3x of 375 and he calls - the SPRs get all whack.

Additionally, an overbet shove could look like a turned combo draw like JQdd, 10Jdd more than a value bet.

Villain tank calls. River bricks and we take it down. Villain flashes an Ace before mucking.
[2/5 Live] Extracting max value when flopping top two Quote
09-08-2019 , 01:24 AM
The flop is ??????

Just bet lol
[2/5 Live] Extracting max value when flopping top two Quote
09-08-2019 , 01:38 AM
Agreed as played ship the turn there is 500 in the pot and 700 in stacks once you call + you're OOP
[2/5 Live] Extracting max value when flopping top two Quote
09-08-2019 , 01:40 AM
We should almost always be betting the flop, especially without good reads on the players. Even most of the bad players know when we check raise here their one pair ace is no good and we win the minimum.

Yes we block a lot of their continue range, but this isn’t the type of board to trap. First, we have plenty of value targets. Second, this is the type of board where someone is likely to have something. Third, if our opponents have nothing on this flop, and improve to a hand that wants to put in a ton of money, we will usually be behind. If we have 55 on 522, our opponents can hit all sorts of top pairs etc we can get value from. Here, they either have a pair/draw and will call flop, or they have an underpair/gutter that will drill the turn or fold anyway.

Last edited by Badreg2017; 09-08-2019 at 01:47 AM.
[2/5 Live] Extracting max value when flopping top two Quote
09-08-2019 , 02:04 AM
Quote:
Even most of the bad players know when we check raise here their one pair ace is no good and we win the minimum.
Like I said, I think a overbet x/r shove on the turn looks more like a combo draw than a made hand to me. I think this targets Ax hands really well which is what he almost always has here.

Quote:
we have plenty of value targets
Do we think someone with a Q is really calling when I bet flop into 4 people? Besides diamond draws, I don't see any worse hands that would call.


Even if it checks through on the flop. 25% of the time there's no diamond on the turn which is the only card im really scared of. The other 75% of the time, my turn bet will be much more likely to get calls.

Maybe I'm missing something - I thought it was a clever line to take but maybe it's just fancy play syndrome.
[2/5 Live] Extracting max value when flopping top two Quote
09-08-2019 , 02:47 AM
Roughly one million combos of Ax can call flop. People don’t like folding Ax pre. And yea I expect a decent number of queens to call flop depending on sizing.
[2/5 Live] Extracting max value when flopping top two Quote
09-08-2019 , 02:57 AM
Also, no need to balance your ranges in a 4 way pot.
[2/5 Live] Extracting max value when flopping top two Quote
09-08-2019 , 05:20 AM
don't listen to others telling you have to bet flop, your line is good, obv betting flop is standard but as you can see actually x'ing to x/raise or x/call worked amazingly getting him to put it in dead ott. Never raise to any size less than all in ott.
[2/5 Live] Extracting max value when flopping top two Quote
09-08-2019 , 06:07 AM
Result is pretty flukey, in my experience people don’t typically call a check jam here with Ax. I mean if they do then we should take this line every time, but I just don’t think that’s the case. This has to be one of the most under-bluffed combos of line/board in live poker and even most recs know that. I would snap fold A9 as V if I knew H wasn’t merely over-playing AK. It’s just never a bluff unless you are against a maniac or a crusher.
[2/5 Live] Extracting max value when flopping top two Quote
09-08-2019 , 11:26 PM
wont most player call flop w any 2 broadways, any ace, any FD?
flop is a pretty clear bet for me, but i never continue after checking so my whole range folds after i check the floop
[2/5 Live] Extracting max value when flopping top two Quote

      
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