Hero is effective stack in this hand with $850. Been here maybe 30min and took down one pot with PFR and cbet.

Passive/loose MP1 player limps in.
Hero raise $25 with KJdd in MP
Reg flats in HJ
MP1 flats

Three ways to flop 7d 4d 2h - Pot $75

Check
Hero bets $40
Reg flats
MP1 folds

Turn Qs - Pot $155

Hero bets $80
Reg flats after a short tank of about 60 secs

River 2s - Pot $315

Hero?


Thoughts everywhere? I think a cbet is good as I will be taking it down often. Board shouldn't hit them much. On the turn I feel like a double barrel is probably good but I'm not sure. Perhaps a bit larger like $100-$120 to put max pressure on 7x and pocket pairs like 88-99. I don't see many Qx in his flop calling range and in retrospect the turn tank was pretty weak. River we can probably get folds from 7x, maybe 88-99, and obv missed draws if we bet large. Not many obvious diamond combos left given our holding.

Villain here I believe is a pro or semi-pro. He's usually crushing PLO and seems to know all of the other pros. No reads beyond that. This is the first time I've seen him playing 2/5 NL. He's sitting on nearly $3k.

Well played, assuming your plan was to check-fold the river.

This is my amatuer analysis so take with a grain of salt.

PF-fine

flop- not a fan of the cbet. you're OOP vs. a competent player, and you're betting a board that he probably knows you dont hit all too often. you have ( little ) SD. value w/ your K hi, and it would be great to hit a flush w/ multiple opponents. most PP's and maybe some floating broadways are calling a flop bet on this board. I'd lean toward checking. Again, my opinion.

Turn- mostly agree w/ your anlysis.

River- again, i feel the flop check is good, but as played I would bomb. it would absolutely suck if he checks back w/ A5dd or 99. I'd make it sizeable, but believable....4/5 pot or something.

$190 … think you played the hand fine.

I think a turn bomb around $125 elicits the folds you seek.

You’ve got no SDV at this point and a read that he was weakish OTT. Fire $240 and take it down.