Quote:
Originally Posted by Minatorr
1) How often do you think he is taking this line as a bluff/spazzing/turning random SDV into a bluff and how frequently relative to just the nuts/flush/possible spazzed straight?
Yeah sure AAJ doesn't know for certain whether he was bluffing or not. But if you had to bet 50 million dollars whether he was bluffing or not, everyone would snap pick not bluffing faster than lightning.
2) Yes, we can be drawing thin in this spot but that doesn't matter. What matters is range vs range. Just because we are drawing thin vs a lot of hands doesn't mean the stack-off is -EV.
Thanks as always for your excellent comments.
1) In the HH, the bluff/non-bluff isn't as important as the fact that V was willing to call a big raise with (ostensibly) just a draw. He wasn't getting pot odds in all likelihood to bink the turn (which apparently he did). Sorry if I focused excessively on the "bluff" instead of highlighting the more important issue of V's "aggression factor".
2)I'm not opposed to stacking off here, but I prefer to do it ott. So I'd rather take a free card while retaining the option to delay c-bet/jam this turn while I'm still uncapped. How would you play red Aces here?