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2/5 KQo Flush Turns, Fairly Common Spot 2/5 KQo Flush Turns, Fairly Common Spot

04-15-2021 , 06:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by browni3141
Well, you can use multiple sizings. The more inelastic an opponent's raising range is with respect to sizing, the less incentive strong hands have to bet small. So a good exploit for live poker IMO is to use bigger sizes with stronger hands against opponents who don't adjust to smaller sizes by raising more often.

I don't really get what Doodoo is getting at though. You can just use 20x pot sizing with the nuts and air and make 100%(minus the nuts) of the opponent's range roughly indifferent. Doesn't mean that's a good sizing to use with the nuts.
yeah i agree, and i think there are plenty of spots that call for multiple sizings. i do think you gain less on the flop by splitting (and give up more in complexity) vs on later streets, though.

re doodoo's post: i guess i would say that i agree there are plenty of spots where a rough description of the best bet size is one where you put a lot of the weak part of V's range in a tough spot (eg betting 1/4p in a spot where V must now continue with K hi no draw or fold too often), i just strongly disagree with it as a hard and fast rule.
2/5 KQo Flush Turns, Fairly Common Spot Quote
04-15-2021 , 06:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jvds
what are you talking about? your statement "The theory behind bet sizing - it's goal is to put the highest percentage of your opponents range in 0 EV situations" is not a fact. the only goal in poker is to maximize ev, and sometimes the way you do that is by making bets that put the highest % of your opponents range in 0 ev spots, and sometimes it is not. if you are saying that statement applies 100% of the time, then what you are saying is wrong.

i dont follow what point you are trying to make by saying that maximizing ev is exploitative by nature. maximizing ev is a critical part of theory (or gto) as well, if that is the distinction you are making.
It 100% applies in solver land.

That's why I prefaced my statement with theory. If we are talking about strictly GTO. Which means GTO vs GTO ranges. Then my statement is correct.

You keep saying maximize EV like it isn't some subjective thing. Every opponent is different. Every line will be different to maximize EV vs that opponent.

I am talking objectively with my statements. "Maximizing EV" is obviously the goal against every opponent, but it isn't an achievable goal because you will never know your opponent's exact ranges in every spot.
2/5 KQo Flush Turns, Fairly Common Spot Quote
04-15-2021 , 06:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
It 100% applies in solver land.

That's why I prefaced my statement with theory. If we are talking about strictly GTO. Which means GTO vs GTO ranges. Then my statement is correct.
i think we will have to agree to disagree here. with that said, "theory" means something broader than gto to me so i guess we disagree slightly less.

Quote:
You keep saying maximize EV like it isn't some subjective thing. Every opponent is different. Every line will be different to maximize EV vs that opponent.

I am talking objectively with my statements. "Maximizing EV" is obviously the goal against every opponent, but it isn't an achievable goal because you will never know your opponent's exact ranges in every spot.
i still dont understand what point you are making. "maximizing ev" is an objective/goal, and its not subjective - *how* to achieve that goal of course has subjective elements as you said.

to bring this back to the betsizing argument: we agree that the only actual goal in poker is to maximize ev; if you also say that we should choose our bet sizing to maximize the % of V's range that is 0ev, then you are implicitly saying that doing so *always* maximizes ev (in a nash pair), which i disagree with/i see no reason why that must be true.
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04-15-2021 , 07:15 PM
Theory is synonymous with GTO in colloquial terms so I just use them interchangeably.

Yes the point of bet sizing is to put your opponent's in bluff catching situations with the highest percentage of their range. That logically follow's that it will maximize EV - if we are playing against a solver.

But it's much easier to just use examples to illustrate my point.

2 BTNvsBB spots.

T94r board - which sizing do you use?
A72r board - which sizing do you use?

We use completely different sizing's here but the underlying premise remains. Our bet sizing always has one goal.
2/5 KQo Flush Turns, Fairly Common Spot Quote
04-15-2021 , 07:41 PM
Ok that’s fine, we are on the same page now

I don’t agree that it logically follows, which is the point I was making

I can’t see how 2 examples are going to prove anything but please proceed
2/5 KQo Flush Turns, Fairly Common Spot Quote
04-16-2021 , 10:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
That wouldn't make them indifferent though. Folding would be clearly superior to raising/calling with almost all our range vs a 20x nuts/air toy game.
Depends completely on the ranges. You certainly can have situations where a 20x shove makes 100% of the opponents range indifferent. Nuts/air vs. bluffcatcher toy game is an easy example. Realistic examples are harder because ranges tend to have a mixture of a lot of different types of hands with different qualities. You won't make 5-high, top pair and middle set indifferent with the same shoving range.

Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
You are talking about maximizing EV which is exploitative by nature.
Not really. Maximizing EV means something different in a theoretical vs exploitative context, but both exploitative and theoretical approaches are attempting to maximize EV. The maximally exploitative strategy is maxing EV against a single specific strategy. NE strategy is maxing EV against the maximally exploitative counter-strategy to itself. In a NE both sides take the highest EV action 100% of the time, and mix actions with equal EV.

Quote:
Yes the point of bet sizing is to put your opponent's in bluff catching situations with the highest percentage of their range. That logically follow's that it will maximize EV - if we are playing against a solver.
I have to agree with jvds that this isn't clearly true. It may be true, but most of this forum doesn't know enough about theory to see that clearly. I'm not hard-core into theory, but I know more than most of this subforum and it's not obvious to me, either.
2/5 KQo Flush Turns, Fairly Common Spot Quote
04-16-2021 , 10:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jvds
Ok that’s fine, we are on the same page now

I don’t agree that it logically follows, which is the point I was making

I can’t see how 2 examples are going to prove anything but please proceed
Okay.

So in the A72r spot we mostly bet small. Why? To put Weak K high/Strong Q high/Strong J high/Strong T high in terrible spots. All pairs obviously call but that's not what we are targeting.

We bet small to cover the largest percentage of opponent's range. Here it is air hands.

#2.

This is a classic overbet spot. Why? #1 We overbet OTF more on non FD boards because less turns dramatically change equities. So if you put this exact same spot but added a FD on it - we would use smaller sizing than an OB for most our range.

We also want to leverage our nut advantage. We have all 99+ in solver land and BB should be 3betting all those hands. So when we bet huge - we immediately put all pairs in bluff catch mode. Even some weak top pair should fold vs this sizing.

Our sizing is a function of our range + our opponent's range. That's why we go small on polarizing flops like A72 but huge on T94. Both bet sizing's are trying to accomplish the same goal - which is to make our opponent indifferent between calling and folding (i.e we want them to have a tough decision).
2/5 KQo Flush Turns, Fairly Common Spot Quote
04-16-2021 , 10:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by browni3141
Depends completely on the ranges. You certainly can have situations where a 20x shove makes 100% of the opponents range indifferent. Nuts/air vs. bluffcatcher toy game is an easy example. Realistic examples are harder because ranges tend to have a mixture of a lot of different types of hands with different qualities. You won't make 5-high, top pair and middle set indifferent with the same shoving range.



Not really. Maximizing EV means something different in a theoretical vs exploitative context, but both exploitative and theoretical approaches are attempting to maximize EV. The maximally exploitative strategy is maxing EV against a single specific strategy. NE strategy is maxing EV against the maximally exploitative counter-strategy to itself. In a NE both sides take the highest EV action 100% of the time, and mix actions with equal EV.



I have to agree with jvds that this isn't clearly true. It may be true, but most of this forum doesn't know enough about theory to see that clearly. I'm not hard-core into theory, but I know more than most of this subforum and it's not obvious to me, either.
This is exactly why using examples is far superior. It's very easy to get caught up in the nomenclature of poker. If I say something and you think the definition is something else - then we just run around in circles all day.
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