Quote:
Originally Posted by Mlark
Either checking or betting the flop is okay, but your size is too big. 20% or 33% are okay.
As played, I don't really like just calling. Villain can be doing this with all kinds of hands. 98, flush draws, pocket pairs that are doing the classic, "putting you on AK." Occasionally you're drawing dead, but most of the time I don't think you are. I think it is going to be close between folding and jamming. Jamming looks pretty strong and may even get him to fold out hands like 99, 88. You are flipping vs his flush draws and have some equity vs his pocket pairs. But it's not super clear this is a winning play, I would guess vs population it is maybe slightly winning but close to 0 EV. So folding or jamming both seem reasonable based on reads or even if you just want to flip a coin.
I sized up a bit because anything smaller just gets called by villain's whole range in these games, so I believe that is the minimum size to get fold equity. Looking back on it now, If I have to bet so large when the effective stacks are this shallow, then a flop check is probably better.
Agreed on not just calling the flop- If I just call then I'm stuck out of position in a bloated pot, praying for a check back if I brick the turn.