Quote:
Originally Posted by Prince_of_Whales
~850 effective...main villain is new to the table, limp calls a lot, seems like a 1/3 reg/fishy reg
Is this always a boat? Bluffs that made sense to me were 56s, busted hearts. Are we “underrepped” having checked the flop? Does it matter that we ubnblock hearts? Value range I thought he could maybe play like this were 44, 77, AQ,A7o, A4o (but is he really limp calling A4o and A7o) and is he really checking Aq/AK twice?
To the bolded: Yes. Yes he is.
Being "underrepped" is meaningless against a weak & passive player. They're on level 0 thinking (what do I have, what is the betting action?), and you're trying be on level 2 (what does my opponent think I have?). Trying to be 2+ levels above your opponent is wasted mental energy, and likely to cost you.
On the river, your opponent is overwhelmingly likely to only call with hands that are beaten by your AJ. His potential bluffs, if they exist, would snap fold. Even a hand like 77/44 may only flat call your big raise out of fear. Though they're rare, I think you get shown aces full here if you call. So fold.
I find a lot of your plays in this hand questionable though. All 3 options are viable preflop, depending on reads on MP. Flop check is OK I guess, but I lean towards a small bet there. After checking back flop, I prefer a larger turn bet ($40-50). Then when V wakes up with a large bet on the river, I think we should strongly consider only calling. When blatantly passive villains "wake up" with a very large bet on a later street, it's quite often a very strong hand.