Just a little update on my 2/5 adventure, skip if you want...
I've been getting killed in my previous 2 (and only 2, in my lifetime) 2/5 sessions. It's partly luck, partly some mistakes I admit I made. I've lost 16 BBs per hour. Luckily I've been absolutely destroying $1/2, and I've logged way more hours of that in the past 2 months. For the last two months, I've been beating $1/2 for $30/hour (also ~16 BBs per hour).
Thoughts on this hand please? I believe this might be the worse hand I've played in a long time, but still am certain that the flop bet and turn call were +EV.
Reads: Seems loose pre flop and decent post flop. He once raised with 97s from EP (6 handed) and got a caller in the BB. He flopped top two pair, bet flop and turn. And amazingly he didn't value-bet river. He didn't have the nuts, there were some possible straights out there, but it was a relatively safe river and there was less than a PSB left.
My image is probably a total unknown, but TAG I guess. I've been at the table for about 45 minutes.
Folds to villain on the button who makes it $20. I have K
6
. This is a classic fold or 3-bet spot, so I make it $60. He flats. He has $395 behind.
Flop: A
2
4
. I bet $75 and he calls.
Turn: A
2
4
Q
. I check/call $100.
River: 8
. Check/check.
Now onto my thoughts/justifications:
Preflop: It's not a perfect 3-bet situation, maybe not even a good one. An ideal one would be if I had established a tighter image, were on the button vs. his CO raise, or stacks were deeper. But it also wasn't a terrible situation since this is a decent 3-betting hand and we know villain has a wide raising range. I thought it was a slightly profitable 3-bet, but maybe should have made it a little larger.
Flop: I think this is fine, but maybe larger is better. Another option is c/c or CRAI (I'm hoping to get discussions on these lines).
Turn: Finally, a street I can have 100% confidence in being at least neutral EV. I'm getting 3.7-1 immediate odds on a 4.2 - 1 draw. His range is fairly strong, at least a decent ace, and I need to extract only another $50 on the river to break even. If I hit, on average I could probably extract far more than that since the pot would be $470...
River: Pot is $470 and there's less than a HPSB left. With almost no fold equity except against a stone bluff or middle pair turned into a bluff, I give up and check.