Hero TAG image. 1,7k
Villain (covers) the spot at the table. Loose and mostly passive. Never saw him raise postflop. Limping a lot, raising sometimes. Played draws passive before by just calling or checking back ip.
Seems like he is a bit careful postflop and not massively overplaying his hands.
Examples: Overcalled multiway a raise otb with K7o. Called a bet otf, checked back ott, called otr on K93Q9ssxxx
Raised 20 pre with KKds and bet 50 otf, ott and otr hu on QT436hxxhh
Called a raise pre with J5cc, called a cbet otf, checked back ott, called otr on KT726ccxcx

CO raises to 30, hero calls otb with 22, sb folds, Villain calls in the bb.
Flop (95) K23
check check, hero bets 35, villain x/r to 150, CO folds, hero calls.
Turn (395) K235
villain bets 100, hero raises to 300, villain calls
River (995) K2355
villain snap leads 500, hero?

As played, you’re only beaten by KK and 33. I don’t think villain would bet so small on the turn given the flush draw if he had those hands. I would at least call, but I think a jam is better.

All-in should be right vs this opponent. Your hand examples show he is very undisciplined in hand selection,meaning he should have plenty of flushes in his line, and maybe some hero calls with kx or even a straight. 54 too i guess.

Also agree villain should have almost no 33 or KK with turn sizing.

Bet sizing on turn is not indicative of 33. Think you can raise river for value. All in is for 700 more on top of the 500. Doubt villain can find a fold with a flush given the price you’ll be offering.

Everything about his line looks like a flush draw that hit on river. I cannot possibly imagine this is anything but a jam, if you ran into 33 sucks.

All those hand histories make me want to just call river. And scared to raise turn

Villain's line really looks like the nut flush draw that hit. c/r big on the flop, lead small and called your raise on the turn, and lead after the flush hits. KK would 3 bet pre, so you're only beat by 33, and if he had 33, he bets way more on the turn to set up a chunky bet on the river.

Put him all in. V would be getting close to 4-1 on a call.....he's never folding a made flush for that price.