Quote:
Originally Posted by daniel9861
I don't think so. The guy is a recreational player, he isn't a thinking player. You gain more fold equity from these type of players not lose it.
just because he is recreational player doesnt mean he is a drooling idiot. he still has a thought process, it just doesnt make any sense most of the time.
river is an easy bet. i like 120.
my sizing would have gone 25/45/95 tho with this particular hand.
theres a lot of value hands you'd triple this board run out vs a fish. sure he probably still calls Tx a decent% of the time, but you likely get him to fold 7x, 3, 88, J9, J8, QJ, KQ, KJ, 45, 46.
the pure bluffs are pretty few, mostly overs that turned backdoor spades and J9s/65s/68s/89s.
the real question(s) are, how thin are you going for value in this spot? i think i likely value JT+ here against a complete station (but i would use subtle changes in my sizing to get there cheaper, for JT i'd go 20/45/75) and how often are you double barreling AJ-AK/QJ+ on this board?
i would likely pot control T9/T8 oop vs a passive player and try to take one street off. 99/88/7x falls under the same hand strength
its prob a leak to fire twice with QJ/KJ/KQ without having spades backup as villian is sticky. but is prob standard cbet heads up assuming you have a backdoor flushdraw, thus for balance purposes i'd bet any unimproved non A-hi overs with bdfd and check the offsuit combinations.