Quote:
Originally Posted by Javanewt
How is this a ****ty flop for AA? What are we afraid of? 68? A set? We could always be facing a set with AA. Two pair? We could face two pair extremely often -- more so on many other flops than this.
This flop is so draw-heavy, it seems really bad to give a free card. What do you hope to see? Do you check so you can fold on almost every turn?
There are lots of bad flops for AA, but if this is one of them, we need to stop betting AA on the majority of flops.
When there are four people in the hand and nobody else has shown any major strength preflop, this flop hits the callers ranges extremely hard and there are going to be a ton of bad runouts for AA. Meanwhile, we are still OOP and don't know which cards are good and bad. So by potting the flop, OP has now built a big pot with a marginally good hand on this board. The continuing ranges for V's will have very good equity vs AA and if someone raises at any point you pretty much have to fold.
Checking allows other V's to overvalue their more marginal holdings like TT/J9/Q9/etc and if it goes bet -> raise you can decide how to proceed from there (usually fold). When I have K9s in this spot and it checks to me on the button, I'm betting. When I have K9s in this spot and the PFR pots it into the entire field, I'm folding because they're going to have what they're repping most of the time (an overpair).
These are the absolute best spots to be in position vs a PFR with an extremely narrow range because they're already told you what they have with their raise pre and potting it on the flop. Meanwhile, they have no idea what the person in position has and are going to be lost on later streets, and can be easily bluffed on many runouts that are bad for their hand.
If this pot was heads up or 3-way I would be more keen on a bet, but smaller sizing unless stacks were shallow. When there are four people in the hand, it becomes a check.