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2-5, 500 bb deep with a set 2-5, 500 bb deep with a set

02-11-2013 , 09:25 PM
Games is pretty good lots of action, and a lot of deepstacks.
2-5 game

Villain 1 is an Asian guy who has like 6k and covers everyone. He hasn't been seen getting out of line too much, an orbit or 2 ago he min raised me, from 100 to 200 and i called and folded the turn. I haven't seen him show down much. Everytime i see him he always has a lot of chips though, and I've seen him on 3 different occasions

Villain 2 has like 2k. He is pretty good action, he has been giving and getting action, definitely not a nit and he does call light.

I have like 2500. I was tilting for a while and spewing off chips when I first sat down at this table and have reloaded like twice. Everyone was getting a piece of my money it seemed like, I might have been viewed to be tilting by the table, not sure, but I defintely was steaming a little. I have been playing pretty aggressive though, opening a good amount and c-betting.

On to the hand.

I get dealt JJ in sb, Villain 1 limps utg + 3, villain 2 limps cutoff, button limps, i make it 45. Villain 1 and 2 call, button folds, we're 3 handed.

Flop (140): AKJ
I bet 85, call, call. I try to keep my bet sizing roughly the same, so when I miss I can get cheaper c bets in.

Turn (395): 4
I bet 260, villain 1 tanks and makes it 690, villain 2 folds. What are you doing?

After some comment I will post what happened
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 12:14 AM
First of all, is there any chance he is limp calling AA, KK? Unlikely IMO.

I would prefer to bet pretty large on the flop. Lots of pair plus draw, naked draws, 2 pair in their range. I think you can fluctuate your bet size according to what it is you want to accomplish w/o fear of being exploited at the 2/5 level, especially when you are likely to get the same number of calls for $120 as you will for $85.

On the turn, I think bet size is ok, although an argument could be made for a larger bet. Waiting to raise the turn, screams of flopping the nuts IMO. The question is if we are getting implied odds to fill up and will he pay when you hit and bomb river?

Its $430 to win $915 and we will have $1680 left. So how much can you get from him on river,if any, and will you have the discipline to x/f if you miss?
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 12:29 AM
literally can't think of a hand he does this with other than QT, especially if he is a good player.

raising the turn with any sort of draw as a semi bluff would be god awful, and the only hands he could be raising for value is KJ, possibly AJ but more often than not he opening for a raise rather than l/c. but even then raising with KJ or AJ on this board is extremely light.

i think a decent player here is never showing up with anything other than QT. your getting decent odds to call and only to make up a small amount on the river to make this a profitable call. you could go for a c/r otr bc any decent player is not checking back even if the board pairs for fear of missing value.
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 12:36 AM
cbet size is garbage. 120-140 please. I get the idea of "balancing" bets here, but this isn't the board to do it on vs this many people.

also, The question seems like a simple pokerstove equation.

The pot is 915. It is 430 to call. If we call, our stack is ~1680 (so prob anywhere from 1650 to 1700). So our implied odds are 430 / 1680 (3.9 to 1) and our immediate odds is 430 to 915 (2.12 to 1). If he always has QT and is always going to stack off, we're calling 430 to win 2595 (~6 to 1).

I guess I would call turn and c/f shoved river, c/cry-call a smallish bet (~600?), c/r a paired river.

Last edited by makeit10; 02-12-2013 at 12:46 AM.
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 12:50 AM
will he do this with a10spades type hands?
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 03:26 AM
Sick spot. Looks like q10 but he will have ak and maybe worse two pairs some of the time. I'd call turn and ship river if board pairs. You shouldn't check raise because I know man llsnl would check river if board pairs even wih nut straight. The bigger question is what do u do if u miss river and he fires a regular bet (about 1/2 pot)??? I'd bet 120ish on flop, there are few villains who will catch on and u are missing a lot of value since that flop bet adds up quickly by the river
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 02:27 PM
Questions I would ask myself or be thinking about:

1. I doubt he has AA or KK villain limped and he didnt 3 bet preflop.

2. Since you have history with Villian what is his preflop limp/call range?

3. How does he play flush draws or combos?

4. Would he call $45 preflop with Q10 and OOP vs other players?

5. Wouldnt he raise you OTF with 2 pairs?

6. Is he making a move on you because you are tilting?

7. Have you seen him bet with air?

8. How does he play AK?


I would only call to keep all the hands I beat from folding. Also I would make it about $100-110 otf.
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 04:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lbrasci
Questions I would ask myself or be thinking about:

1. I doubt he has AA or KK villain limped and he didnt 3 bet preflop.
I agree

2. Since you have history with Villian what is his preflop limp/call range?
He has honestly not shown down too many hands, he won all his money before I came to the table, he has won some pots but all before showdown for the most part, at least that I have noticed

3. How does he play flush draws or combos?
Same as above, haven't seen him showdown much

4. Would he call $45 preflop with Q10 and OOP vs other players?
I believe he would since I was opening a lot, and we were pretty deep

5. Wouldnt he raise you OTF with 2 pairs?
I kinda agree here, but it's debatable, I don't think he has AK because he raises pre, he might have AJ or KJ I was thinking, maybe a draw or possibly the nuts. I feel like he'd raise flop with the nuts, but maybe he has Q10 suited so he has a redraw too.

6. Is he making a move on you because you are tilting?
I was debating this, specialy cuz I have bet fold and had **** a lot lately. I did recently double so maybe he realizes I'm a little off tilt

7. Have you seen him bet with air?
Maybe once or twice, but I have not seen him bet with air, but as I said he doesn't show down much, he has tried to trap me once before when he flopped a boat

8. How does he play AK?
I'd assume he does not have Ak

I would only call to keep all the hands I beat from folding. Also I would make it about $100-110 otf.
I agree, but I'm always betting around this amount with my bluffs too, so I felt like if I c-bet 115 its gonna be setting off some alarms. Really limp calling, they might have suited cards, pocket pairs or an ace with a draw, never feel like they have AK, maybe KJ or AJ, but they probably raise flop with this
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 04:09 PM
Anyway I called river brings a King of spades bringing in the flush, im first up. Sorry on the flop the Ace was a spade not the king
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 05:03 PM
i pmed u good sir
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 08:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by moditude
i pmed u good sir
Didn't receive any pm's if u were talking to me
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 09:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sysmex12
I agree, but I'm always betting around this amount with my bluffs too, so I felt like if I c-bet 115 its gonna be setting off some alarms. Really limp calling, they might have suited cards, pocket pairs or an ace with a draw, never feel like they have AK, maybe KJ or AJ, but they probably raise flop with this
I think trying to 'balance' with bet sizing at this level is not going to be optimal.
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 09:06 PM
I think you should bet the K river. Even if villain has QT, I think he's highly likely to check in back when both draws get there.
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 09:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sysmex12
Anyway I called river brings a King of spades bringing in the flush, im first up. Sorry on the flop the Ace was a spade not the king
Probably obvious, but now I think you need to push for value. Only losing to KJ, (and three of the jacks are accounted for) or AA/AK/KK, any of which would be oddly played given the l/c pre. Q10 may call you, as well as a flush (A10 of spades?).
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote
02-12-2013 , 09:19 PM
He obv has royal and thats what you're dying to tell us? The big raise on the turn smells like QTss.
2-5, 500 bb deep with a set Quote

      
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