Good post, thank you for giving a range for villain.
I'm having a hard time figuring out what they raise here that you beat. If we give them QQ,JJ,Tx9x,(AK-JT,AQ,AJ):ss you're crushed 3-1. If we give them all combos of AK it gets slightly better, you're at 50% equity, but I don't expect AK to raise this turn often. Removing AK again, if we assume villain flats all AA and KK and raises AA on the turn you're at 40%, and that's an optimistic scenario.
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
KdQd | 28.03% | 148 | 0 |
QQ,JJ,Tx9x,(AK-JT,AQ,AJ):ss | 71.97% | 380 | 0 |
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
KdQd | 50.45% | 444 | 0 |
QQ,JJ,Tx9x,(AK-JT,AQ,AJ):ss,AK | 49.55% | 436 | 0 |
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
KdQd | 40.67% | 340 | 0 |
QQ,JJ,Tx9x,(AK-JT,AQ,AJ):ss,AA,KK | 59.33% | 496 | 0 |
Tough spot, but what do we beat? There are hardly any flush draws in their range.