2/5 - 300+bb deep, top two tricky turn spot
Join Date: Jun 2008
Posts: 1,936
2/5 at aria
8 handed
Hero utg (1800): Asian, late 20s. Has a decent image, just won a big pot by taking safe route and called down an opponents triple barrel with bottom set. Hasn't gone too out of line so far
Main villain btn (1500~) loose pre, not too passive or aggro post, haven't seen him gone really out of line post flop yet. Middle eastern in his late 20s, loves to talk about hands.
Hero KdQc open to 15
Vilain btn calls
Sb calls
Bb calls
Flop (60) Kc4cQd
I bet 45, btn tanks a bit and calls, sb and bb folds
Turn (150) Kc4cQd Ts
I bet 110, btn thinks a bit, asks how much I have and raises to 320. Hero?
What's ur plan here and why?
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 850
Probably calling and c/c blank rivers. I don't think we're behind a ton here, mostly to AJcc and J9cc. He's got plenty of Axcc and of course J10cc. In addition it seems possible that he flatted flop with a hand like K10s.
Shoving seems bad since we get it in bad almost always, and when we're ahead we're not loving our equity. Folding seems kind of nitty since theres still a lot that we beat at the moment. Call, evaluate imo.
Join Date: Dec 2011
Posts: 7,951
Call it nitty, but I might just fold unless you plan on calling a $600 river bet on bricks. I think with these type of connected broadway boards, people just never raise without a straight since you have a ton of sets and top two in your range as PFR. Even two pair often just calls and hopes for brick river to value bet. AJdd, AcJx, 44, ATcc, TJcc, etc. all definitely in V's range. Soul read time I guess.
Join Date: Nov 2014
Posts: 5,722
Obv. AJ is in v's range, as are sets (44 most likely) or a turned two pair. I think we can discount TT as he either 3-bets pre or folds flop. AT/JT became a pair & SD. I'm a bit concerned but given the flop and turn are so coordinated, I call and evaluate the river. Given villain is not generally getting out of line, I call a reasonable river bet and fold to a bomb.
Edit: on second thought, I think the river is a c/f unless we bink. A passive villain isn't going to bet river thin. Lead for $300 OTR if we fill up.
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 32
I'm calling here and planning on calling most river bricks, depending on sizing. If he bombs it you probably have to just let it go as you just don't see live players bomb the turn and the river without the nuts. This is going to come down to a feel thing on a lot of rivers. On a side note, I usually fold KQo pre utg.