Quote:
Originally Posted by Mlark
I think with the deeper good players left going 100 makes sense.
QUOTE=Playbig2000;58485587]With that dynamic and the sticky players with the effective UTG opening I would just flat pre the first time and as played we're most likely way behind him I don't see how we have to call.
Because when you work out the EV even if you have 25% equity in the main pot and 35% in the side pot, and $10 rake, it is a + EV call. You likely have more than that. Go play with their ranges in an equity calculator.
For side pot against any pocket pair lower than QQ you have like 46.5+ % equity. I thinkbpocket pairs lower than QQ will make up a large part of UTG+1 's range for population. Even if you give villain AKo, AQs, AQo, JJ, and TT, we STILL have over 35%. And AK should be discounted a fair bit, and other lower PPs can be there.
We should be thinking about EV, not just if we are ahead or behind. Even if our EV is $10 or $20, yeah it sucks that we are going to lose most of the time, but should definitely call.[/QUOTE]
Im surprised that you are of the opinion that his range has a lot of pocket pairs lower than QQ and that he doesn't mostly have hands that totally dominate us. Im also surprised you are discounting AK so much because in game I was thinking he had a lot of AK when he takes this line.
You think because he just flats when normally he always 3bets that he doesnt have much AK, or do you think he doesnt have much AK just based on population/experience?