Quote:
Originally Posted by Foldhmmm
My instant feel was to shove but after reading this I like this line a little better. More chance for villain to call, assuming thats what we want.
The problem with this line is that the point at which we want him to call is NOW, not after the turn bricks.
We're about a 50-55% favorite against his likely range OTF. After a brick turn we're about a 2-1 underdog against that same range. Thus, if we don't hit, we won't want him to call, but we'll have priced it to make it much easier for him to call.
And don't forget - just because stacks go in OTT doesn't mean we're winning them, on the off chance we're against a villain who was creative enough to raise his NFD.
We have an excellent chance to win a pot 3/8 our stack size NOW with the worst hand if Villain folds, or play for stacks as a favorite if he calls. Why would we pass that opportunity up?