Barcelona casino 2/4. Weak, limpy table.

My image is NIT who folds for ages then bets big and never as a bluff, apart from occasional brainfart spazz. I suffer visibly when played back at, even when I have the nuts.

Villain is lag, has shown up with all kinds of strange winning hands in limped pots (94s, j7o). Can be bluffy / spewy against some of this stationy table. He knows I struggle to put him on a range postflop. He looks and sounds Swedish, is about 23 with hoodie, mp3 and general air of nonchalance.

UTG is a solid winning reg. Never seen him limp before from his position. He is obv aware that villain raises up over 50% of buttons when 2 or more. limpers to him...

Effective stacks €500.
UTG limps, 3 callers, BTN raises to €25, hero (SB) looks down at TdTh.

BB mucks (!) before hero can...?

Call and see a flop. I would expect UTG to rarely be L/R AA or KK preflop since he will not be setting up a great squeeze spot. More likely, if his intent is to limp/raise, he limped AK or AQ. (I would weigh AK and AQ more heavily than they are already weighed through combinatorics).

So flat and intend on getting it in if the UTG decides to raise. Winning players so rarely pull the limp/raise UTG with Aces anymore.

i like a 3-bet against button's extremely wide range. UTG is probably limping with a small pair, intending to flop a set for relatively cheap. This is a winning strategy if the table is very fishy and limpy. Flat calling will be exactly what he wants - and it's always better to do the opposite of what villains want you to do!

By flatting you're allowing:
a) UTG to flop a set
b) BTN to outplay you IP
c) BTN to outflop you with his rags - and make you lose a big pot

You can happily fold to an UTG 4 bet. Tougher spot if BTN 4-bets.