Quote:
Originally Posted by Tanqueray
Hands can be argued many different ways based on player reads and perceived self image.
Although reading from H's own analysis, it appears that H is not slow-playing, but rather leveling himself into thinking his hand could be behind (will raise with top set but not middle set or bottom set).
It's a bit of both. Flop I was being cautious; Turn I was slowplaying.
Because SB was the one to lead into a field of three players, I tend to give these donk bets a bit more credit. If BB were the one that donked, I would raise, given the relative positions. If SB were to 4! and come back over the top on the flop over that, then that would be a tough decision.
What I don't want happening on the flop is SB donks, BB calls, Hero raises, OR folds, and SB goes with his hand. How can you comfortably call off with bottom set here? Maybe SB has an overplayed 96 and that's about it. That's why I think middle set has more value than bottom set, despite what looks to be an incremental advantage.
What I've personally found with live poker is that preflop ranges are typically quite wide, especially when the original raise is very small (which is almost always the case, and definitely in this case). You are correct about live-play and reads/Hero's image/etc. The fact that SB tanked for so long speaks volumes about how much some players overvalue their hands.
If SB is donking with nothing, and BB is drawing, what am I worried about with bottom set and position? I already discounted OR continuing, or if she did, I would call her short-stack all-in.
I agree that BB spewing (with that sizing) was somewhat unexpected. For me, the question is, does BB complete his type of hand (fill-up on the River) often enough to merit slowplaying the Turn?