Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 36,150
I make it closer to $50 preflop. At this stack size, this offers very poor 8:1 IO, which means setminers won't be profitable (let alone anything else). Our 3bet sizing offered 13:1 IO, which while still pretty horrible is almost twice as good. But it is all about our own comfort level and what we are willing to risk versus reward. In position we're probably willing to have more risk, although a laggy player will probably be willing to call a little bit more too.
SPR is 3.5 and we're up against a laggy player on a board that has a draw, so we should feel committed (again a good reason to offer poor IO preflop as this was our most likely situation). So it is all about trying to get in all the chips as best as possible. Against a laggy player, I'm fine with a sucky looking weakish bet to induce. Although I'd also be fine with a PSB to setup a turn jam. The drier the board, the more I go smaller; the wetter, the more I go bigger.
As played, I think I'm ok with the flat. This gives him the chance to continue bluffing and attempt to push us off our hand. The wetter the board, the more I might just get it in now.
Not loving the turn card but I'm still getting in the rest of my chips here (we have very little behind so I just shove the rest in now). He could be value betting worse / going nutso. If he's outflopped us, this all comes back to the IO we were comfortable offering preflop.
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