Quote:
Originally Posted by AceDeuceSuited
but wanted to build the pot in case the straight hit on later streets.
I think this is a pretty poor reason for betting in this case.
First, the SPR is 6 against the Villain. We shouldn't have much problem getting in stacks by the river if anyone bets the flop.
Second, we're behind and and at best have 8 outs to improve to the next street (a ~5:1 dog) and at worst might only have 3 outs to improve to the next street (a ~14:1 dog). We'd rather not put in money when we have the worst of it. To think of it another way, switch seats with your opponent (and now lets say we're the ones sitting with TP); we'd bet our TP for value to make straight draws incorrectly pay to chase, right?
Third, getting raised is a disaster, cuz now we'll have to fold having putting in more money while not even realizing our equity.
The biggest reason to bet here is to fold out better hands and steal the pot. But on boards like this (where commonly in-play Ax ain't folding to the first bet and other draws could easily continue) and OOP not knowing who is interested, it's an overly speculative gamble, imo. If we hadda had position and it was checked thru to us on the Button (especially the others checking after the preflop raiser checked) then a bet here would make a lot more sense, as much less likely anyone has Ax or a flush draw (which we may even want to rep); but OOP, meh.
GimoG