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I reckon I cbet here cuz I pretty much always cbet if I can get away with it. Sometimes you take it down. Sometimes you hook up. Whatever. Money is money.
This is normally my thinking too. It's an easy hand to play. Bet flop, watch both fold, win 33 bigs. If you meet resistance, you can always check back turn. betting the flop can't be a mistake because the pot is already big and 2 folds is an excellent result. Not to mention, had I not actually had a hand like this, I pretty much
never check it back. But I don't think either villain would be able to decipher that.
i
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m not saying cbetting isnt a bad idea, its probably +ev to bet flop/check turn UI and get to river. i probably bet 40 if i am betting this flop. im not unhappy getting the money in on this flop, but i really have no fold equity if that scenario comes up as no one is checkraise/folding.
you say bb has been folding to you lately, yet hes super bad and all the value comes from him in this spot. v1 plays straight forward and stays the hell out of your way when you put him in bad spots.
i think the optimal line that extracts the most value from both players is by checking the flop. my plan is simple. if bb leads and v1 calls. i am jamming. if bb leads and v1 folds, i can jam or call depending on sizing. if bb checks and v1 bets, i am calling hoping for an overcall, but again depending on sizing might put in a raise. if both villians check, i probably bet, but im sure i also check again sometimes and greedily look for the home run on the river.
*if you actually suspect v1 adjusts and will practice avoidance, i think bb check v1 bet, you raise is an extremely good line for max fold equity.
and yet this isn't bad either. I had basically the same plan. If BB checks the turn and HJ bets, I will raise this. That was my plan.
I kind of think that this is the perfect storm of implied odds. Since the HJ never has a set, the only hand I can't push him off of on the turn is QJ which has to be a small enough % that I can raise the turn if he bets. If the BB leads, there are a number of different things I can do. I can keep my options open, still hit and still win with the worst hand.
Last edited by attentionnoone; 12-10-2013 at 08:15 PM.