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1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at 1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at

09-14-2011 , 02:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
This is a good point. I mean, villain just bet into 8 opponents; if he gets a call most villain's will assume that 1 out of 8 guys has an A and will slow down on the turn unless he has a bigger one. So I guess your plan is too flat the flop and then fold our trips on the turn if bet into?

My problem with that is that the flop call (especially by us on the button) might be taken as weak, and so there's a chance we're bluffed off the best hand on the turn, whereas if we raise we define our hand better and it's unlikely we'll be attempted to be bluffed our hand.
Random low stakes cash players as a whole just don't bluff all that much. If villain bets turn, I'm for sure calling, I want him to either a) try to bluff or b) think his 99 is good. I think the general consensus of bad low stakes players will raise w/trips here cuz like u they "want to see where they're at" or be "zomg I have trips its a big hand I don't want to get drawn out on."

Let's say villain has TT, we flat his flop bet. I'd bet he's gonna call a $100 bet ott if he checks. Most of the time when we raise otf you're getting a fold from worse, and better calls. I think his $35 bet is almost always weak hands like TT, JJ, and occasionally a full house. Had you not hit a full house you said u were done w/the hand. You only make $75 otf. If u just call and we make a $100 bet that gets called on the turn u make $135. I'd rather not turn my hand into a bluff otf and make money.

Seems like ur committed to info bets. gl w/that.
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote
09-14-2011 , 02:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
Turn decision as played is secondary (I regret posting it), but you really think I get two more streets (which would be stacks, right?) from KK/etc. once a person calls this flop 9ways? Although I guess he could level himself into me having a flush draw / lower pocket pair; maybe I did screw up the turn.
I know it was secondary so I made a point to answer your main question first. Glad you posted it. I would not have minded if you posted it later in the thread, but it is interesting, so I would like to continue the discussion.

I dont think you will get his stack now unless he tries a bluff. 2 small bets on turn and river look like secondary value and they look like "information" bets. KK could call with it. I see it as the best chance at value on this "either you have an ace or you dont" hand.
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote
09-14-2011 , 02:44 PM
You don't have to "bet to see where you're at." Applying this thinking means you are playing in the dark, so to speak, and are not perceptive of villain's possible holdings. You can use the information gained from your actions to narrow villain's range and proceed accordingly, there is nothing wrong with that

Assign a range for villain (albeit very broad on flop with limited information other than his weak PFR and weak flop lead): Ax, PP, FD/BD combo draws before the action gets to you.


You can decide if raising is optimal based on your ranging of villain (will he fold better/call with worse). If he calls with worse, then based on the range you assigned, your raise assumes a purpose: partly a raise for protection against his drawing range and If he folds Ah10h then it's part bluff. the only range really that remains somewhat questionable is his AX range if he flats.

But when villain flats your flop raise, you can discount PP and weight his ranges accordingly.

so, the information gained by your raise is obtained as a consequence of your action, not for the purpose of your action
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote
09-14-2011 , 03:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DeuceSeven
If villain bets turn, I'm for sure calling, I want him to either a) try to bluff or b) think his 99 is good.
But this is my whole problem with this plan; doesn't calling any reasonable turn bet commit us to calling a river bet due to stack/pot sizes here?
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote
09-14-2011 , 03:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DeuceSeven
You only make $75 otf. If u just call and we make a $100 bet that gets called on the turn u make $135. I'd rather not turn my hand into a bluff otf and make money.
What I'm actually trying to accomplish is not get my whole stack involved (which I believe calling a flop and turn bet do). My thinking is this outweighs the missed value I'm giving up by raising out worse hands.
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote
09-14-2011 , 03:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
What I'm actually trying to accomplish is not get my whole stack involved (which I believe calling a flop and turn bet do). My thinking is this outweighs the missed value I'm giving up by raising out worse hands.
But can't you hand read even a little bit and get an idea about his range otf? Most of the time that small bet is almost never better trips cuz he'd be afraid of the fd. So it's mostly a fd or a pp "seeing where he's at" or polarized to the high end of a pot sweetener that flopped a fullhouse. Given u have one of the case As and there are only a few combos of 55 ur likely way ahead. He should be folding all his hands that are worse and shoving/calling better hands. Congrats u majorly effed urself from value(not being results oriented), but u protected ur stack. This isn't a tournament, so what if u lose half ur stack making a +ev decision(s), top off ur stack.
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote
09-14-2011 , 04:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kyuubimon
With nine players taking the flop, your only choices are to throw it away, or raise it to try to get some draws out of there, to define the hand, and see where you're at. It would be better if the flop rainbowed, but it didn't. You have a hand that can easily trap you, especially with so many taking that flop. Your nine on the side may -- or may not -- be any good. Just calling leaves you guessing.

You have to raise, but you also have to be ready to ditch.
this is terrible advice
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote
09-14-2011 , 04:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
This is a good point. I mean, villain just bet into 8 opponents; if he gets a call most villain's will assume that 1 out of 8 guys has an A and will slow down on the turn unless he has a bigger one. So I guess your plan is too flat the flop and then fold our trips on the turn if bet into?

My problem with that is that the flop call (especially by us on the button) might be taken as weak, and so there's a chance we're bluffed off the best hand on the turn, whereas if we raise we define our hand better and it's unlikely we'll be attempted to be bluffed our hand.
You can't just say the villain will slow down to a call, except actually he might take the call as weak...

I think the former is correct. At these limits you can just fold to a 2nd barrel unless he bets an amount that looks more like KK/QQ trying to charge a FD.
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote
09-14-2011 , 04:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuffle
1. If you call the flop bet for reasons I stated, the pot is $200 and villain has $250 behind.
Given villain's bet-sizing OTF, I think there are a lot of turn bets you can call but still fold river to (in situations where he might have you outkicked).
Obviously if he makes a substantial turn bet, you need to think 1 street ahead whether you are willing to commit or not.
Would $100 (a mere 1/2 PSB) be considered a substantial bet or a reasonable bet? This sets up a $400 pot with $150 left behind.

What about $75 (much less than 1/2 PSB)? Even this sets up a $355 pot with only $175 left (a 1/2 PSB left on the river).

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuffle
Nothing other than an A is calling a $100 bet OTR, so I have no idea why you bet this much.

Usually I start by bet-sizing at 1/4 pot in my mind in a spot like this, and might make it 1/5 or 1/6 depending on the villain.
(therefore in a $200 pot I would never bet more than $50 here and if the guy is very, very likely to fold you could cut your bet thinner at say $30 or $40).
$100 is only a 1/2 PSB, offering decent odds of 3:1; is it really so much?

Maybe this is a stylistic thing, but I very rarely make any river bet much less than 1/2 PSB (including bluffs) and I'm fairly certain I've never bet less than 1/3. Course villain doesn't know that, so probably moot.

FWIW (I think I mentioned this in OP), I have absolutely no history with villain so I'm fairly readless here (he had only recently done the table change).
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote
09-14-2011 , 04:10 PM
Your reason for raising the flop was bad, but the play itself was good. Especially if he is going to c/f the turn with most of his range. He would probably expect you to flat the flop with an A, so any hand that he is c/c the turn with is also calling your flop raise. Fd's and pp make up most of his range. If he will put in money with all his flush draws, but only put in more money with pp if he spikes turn then flatting flop is suboptimal. Raising flop also is good for metagame if anyone is paying attention, which prolly isn't the case though.
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote
09-14-2011 , 04:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuffle
There is something really wrong with this thread and a lot of the responses.

In poker you bet or raise for 1 of 2 reasons ONLY:
1. Get more value out of hands you beat
2. Get more value by making better hands than yours fold

You NEVER bet "for information" or "to see where I'm at".
semi-grunch, as I've read up until this post. paraphrasing: I love those players who raise to find ou "where I'm at." I'll tell you where you're at: you're in big trouble. Who knows what book that's from?
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote
09-14-2011 , 05:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuffle
If the villain is triple barreling $150 into a $400 pot on this board texture, I would be comfortable folding.
If you have some read on him though that he is some kind of donk, or prone to slow play very strong hands like an A here, then you may decide to call.
Not saying this is wrong, but it seems that your plan then would be to put in 50% of the effective stack, then fold. Isn't that generally considered a bad idea?
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote
09-14-2011 , 06:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
1/3, 10 players, great table

Villain ($300) is 20ish male who is wearing earphones. I don't think we've ever played together. He was playing at the table beside me (which was horrible, full of decent regs) and he requested a table change to this table (which is great, with a high moron percentage): so I read this as being not a moron. But his preflop raise size after so many limpers is just terrible (he shoulda saw a 9way flop coming at this table), as is is flop donk size: so I'm not sure my first read is correct. Hasn't been in any hands of note.

Hero ($600) hasn't been in any hands that Villain has seen, so he probably has no read on me other than I have a decent stack.

Preflop (10 players): Hero is Button with A 9
6 limps, Hero limps, SB completes, BB raises to $15, all the limpers call, Hero calls, SB calls

[Did I mention the awesomeness of this table? I have a terribly dominated hand but there are lottsa other big stacks at the table (one absolute moron covers me, a couple other morons have $300+ stacks). I have the button, I'll be getting 8:1; ez call, right? I didn't raise preflop the first time round cuz the more morons in the hand to stack, the better; I don't want to limit the field here.]

Flop (9 players, $135): A A 5
SB checks, Villain bets $35, folds to Hero who raises to $75...

[I'm not raising for value, because I feel it's unlikely that Villain will call with a worse hand. I'm not bluffing, because Villain will never fold a better hand. But with pot so big, I'm not comfortable getting into a calldown situation as stacks will easily be able to get in by the river. So, instead I simply set my price for the hand. If Villain does anything other than fold, I'm done with the hand (though I might pay off a very small river bet after letting the turn check thru). So basically, I'm raising for information, which I know is a no-no. Can someone explain why this is wrong here? Better lines?]

Is there any merit at all for "raising for information" / "seeing where I'm at" if it is more-or-less setting our price for what we are willing to pay for the hand? Or is this horrible?

Spoiler:

Not sure the rest of the hand is relevant, but anyhoo...

SB folds, Villain calls.

Turn (2 players, $285): 5
Villain checks, I check

[I lucked out on the turn, but at this point I feel I'm probably only going to get one more street of value from a worse hand, so I check behind not too worried about being 3-outed.]

River (2 players, $285): Some low blank
Villain checks, I value bet $100 (intending to call obviously), Villain folds

[Lol, I guess my flop raise was for value after all. ]

Glimpingthebuttonwithsuitedaceandtonsofdeadequityi sveryweakplayG

(always wanted to say that)

But yeah... I'm making it $22 on the button here and playing some poker... i think limping the button with this much dead $ and a holding this strong and stacks behind is just spewy


EHhhhh....... I just flat the flop.... if he bombs turn i can find a fold.... i think he checks turn a good chunk of the time and i check back and i bet 2/3 pot if he checks river and call 1/2 pot bets on river if he decides to lead.... i think just calling on the flop will slow him down... and most people (aside from young good players) still are not leading out with trips at this level so i think we have him beat

Gdontlimpbuttonwithgoodhandsanddeadmoneycluelessno obG
1/3 - I raise the flop to see where I'm at Quote

      
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