Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuffle
1. If you call the flop bet for reasons I stated, the pot is $200 and villain has $250 behind.
Given villain's bet-sizing OTF, I think there are a lot of turn bets you can call but still fold river to (in situations where he might have you outkicked).
Obviously if he makes a substantial turn bet, you need to think 1 street ahead whether you are willing to commit or not.
Would $100 (a mere 1/2 PSB) be considered a substantial bet or a reasonable bet? This sets up a $400 pot with $150 left behind.
What about $75 (much less than 1/2 PSB)? Even this sets up a $355 pot with only $175 left (a 1/2 PSB left on the river).
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuffle
Nothing other than an A is calling a $100 bet OTR, so I have no idea why you bet this much.
Usually I start by bet-sizing at 1/4 pot in my mind in a spot like this, and might make it 1/5 or 1/6 depending on the villain.
(therefore in a $200 pot I would never bet more than $50 here and if the guy is very, very likely to fold you could cut your bet thinner at say $30 or $40).
$100 is only a 1/2 PSB, offering decent odds of 3:1; is it really so much?
Maybe this is a stylistic thing, but I very rarely make any river bet much less than 1/2 PSB (including bluffs) and I'm fairly certain I've never bet less than 1/3. Course villain doesn't know that, so probably moot.
FWIW (I think I mentioned this in OP), I have absolutely no history with villain so I'm fairly readless here (he had only recently done the table change).