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1/3: Get Aggressive with Combo Draw on the Turn or Not? 1/3: Get Aggressive with Combo Draw on the Turn or Not?

08-27-2016 , 01:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by erpdlof
what do you think your expected value is when you call the turn?
what do you think it is when you raise the turn?
Well, I wasn't really sure. So I threaded it.
1/3: Get Aggressive with Combo Draw on the Turn or Not? Quote
08-27-2016 , 01:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chocLatee
In my experience I never hit hands when I want to. The beauty of this board and your hand is even if you don't hit, soo many rivers are good for you to rep, where as you risk getting called or worse .. shoved on if you semi-bluff turn. I pretty much flat and shove most rivers.
That's an interesting point. Thanks.
1/3: Get Aggressive with Combo Draw on the Turn or Not? Quote
08-27-2016 , 01:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cannabusto
Well, I wasn't really sure. So I threaded it.
right. i think calling the turn is a simple, solidly +ev decision. i don't know if raising is +ev at all, much less better than calling.
1/3: Get Aggressive with Combo Draw on the Turn or Not? Quote
08-27-2016 , 05:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HappyLuckBox
Raise turn. Either go $200 or Jam. At these stakes id prolly just overbet shove.

You need some bluffs to balance all the value you will have here when you raise turn. This hand is basically the nut hand to turn into a bluff. You have blockers to the nuts, you have a ton of equity and no showdown value, your up against an abc player who probably has a fold btn. You also credibly rep 86s


Risk $295 to win $385 if he calls or $140 when he folds

equity when called = ~32%
.32*(385) = $123
$123 - $295 = -$172ev when called
+$140 ev when he folds

-$172:$140
= need villian to fold at least 55% of his range
^ This is the most LOL post I have seen in some time. Thanks for the chuckle.



Hero should flat the turn because he has the button. The solution changes if hero believes he has a ton of FE.
1/3: Get Aggressive with Combo Draw on the Turn or Not? Quote

      
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