Quote:
Originally Posted by Man of Means
They expect you to c-bet. When you don't and you check/call instead, they will suspect one of two things: high pocket pair that is scared of the Ace, or a trap. The weak/tights will fear a trap and proceed cautiously, whereas the loose-aggressives might try one or two bets before figuring out what you have. If you want to set a trap, I'd prefer c-bet, then check the turn. But even that will probably not earn as much as bet/bet/bet.
well, the way i break it down is this. None of the villains are listed as FISH.
TAG right behind us, and two lags at the end, but all see hero as TAG UTGR.
A 9 4
Villains ranges are gonna be AQ, AJss ATss, SC, All pairs TT-, maybe some AXs KQ QJss QTss , 9x suited hands, maybe some 4x suited hands, etc.
If hero cbets this flop into 3 strange players, how much of these ranges between ALL 3 others, is going to play past a flop call? And if hero bet bet bet line, how much of all total ranges payoff here?
However, if hero checks, or bets something weird like $30, then LAGS can get all sorts of creativity going, and no telling what could happen. Hell, even allowing KQ to turn a K is going to net money that would have folded. Im saying that too much of the entire ranges fold to big flop bets here and alternative / creative methods should be employed at least a fair % of time on this specific flop.
If hero were to check this flop and it checked thru, then the T falls on turn making a FD, and hero fires BIG on the turn, hero gets called by all Tx i say, plus hero will be put on a draw very often and get paid by even possible turn floats from lags. This seems so elementary yet the consensus here just wants to raise always preflop, and cbet damn near everything on the flop. I can explain why i do what i do, can you explain how vs the boatload range that we are against here, that we guarantee ourselves good payouts? And from how big of the range overall?